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Food Price Monitoring and Analysis (FPMA) Bulletin #3, 12 April 2022

Monthly Report on Food Price Trends













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    International prices of all major cereals declined in March. World wheat prices fell significantly, reflecting ample supplies, strong export competition and the extension of the Black Sea Grain Initiative (BSGI). A mix of factors, including ongoing harvests in South America, expected record output in Brazil and currency depreciation in Argentina, led to a decline in maize prices. International rice prices also eased in March, weighed by ongoing or imminent harvests in major Asian exporters. FAO’s analysis of the latest available data shows domestic staple food prices, despite some declines, continue to be very high in many countries in March 2023. Seasonal harvest pressures in parts of East Asia and ample availability of wheat from major exporters in the CIS (Asia and Europe) supported month‑on‑month declines in some staple food prices. Conflict and civil insecurity remained an underlying driver of food price increases in Haiti, and parts of East and West Africa, while weather related shocks were key contributing factors in parts of East and Southern Africa. In many countries, currency weaknesses and high transport costs continue to support elevated prices of both domestically produced and imported food commodities.
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    Food Price Monitoring and Analysis (FPMA) Bulletin #10, 14 December 2022
    Monthly Report on Food Price Trends
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    International prices of wheat and maize fell in November, both influenced by the extension of the Black Sea Grain Initiative. Greater export competition and low demand for supplies from the United States of America contributed to the fall in wheat prices, while in the same country, improved logistics and higher seasonal availability also helped ease maize prices. By contrast, international rice prices moved up by another 2.3 percent in November, influenced by currency appreciations against the United States dollar in some Asian suppliers and good buying interest. According to FAO’s most recent analysis, domestic staple food prices sustained their year-on-year higher levels in November. In some regions, seasonal harvests and domestic policy interventions in favour of critical food and input markets abated the pressure on prices. Price transmission from global food and energy markets, amid widespread currency depreciation, continues to reinforce the upward trend of domestic prices and is expected to push the 2022 food import bills to record levels in many countries. Adverse weather events and market disruptions from conflict and civil unrest are other contributory factors to tight supply conditions and elevated domestic staple food prices.
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    Food Price Monitoring and Analysis (FPMA) Bulletin #5, 15 June 2022
    Monthly Report on Food Price Trends
    2022
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    International wheat prices increased in May in response to India’s announcement of a wheat export ban, amid global supply concerns fuelled by reduced 2022 production prospects as well as disruptions to shipments due to the war in Ukraine. By contrast, international prices of coarse grains eased, as maize harvests in Argentina and Brazil, along with slightly improved crop conditions in the United States of America, alleviated the pressure on markets. Rice prices increased for the fifth successive month in May, amid generally upbeat demand. Based on latest available data, FAO analysis indicates that the number of countries across the globe facing exceptionally high levels of food prices increased sharply in May. Many cases, while originating from reduced domestic supplies, national macroeconomic difficulties and/or localized insecurity, are being exacerbated by the impact of the war in Ukraine on international food, fuel and fertilizer markets.

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