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Food Price Monitoring and Analysis (FPMA) Bulletin #3, 13 April 2021

Monthly Report on Food Price Trends











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    International prices of all major cereals declined in March. World wheat prices fell significantly, reflecting ample supplies, strong export competition and the extension of the Black Sea Grain Initiative (BSGI). A mix of factors, including ongoing harvests in South America, expected record output in Brazil and currency depreciation in Argentina, led to a decline in maize prices. International rice prices also eased in March, weighed by ongoing or imminent harvests in major Asian exporters. FAO’s analysis of the latest available data shows domestic staple food prices, despite some declines, continue to be very high in many countries in March 2023. Seasonal harvest pressures in parts of East Asia and ample availability of wheat from major exporters in the CIS (Asia and Europe) supported month‑on‑month declines in some staple food prices. Conflict and civil insecurity remained an underlying driver of food price increases in Haiti, and parts of East and West Africa, while weather related shocks were key contributing factors in parts of East and Southern Africa. In many countries, currency weaknesses and high transport costs continue to support elevated prices of both domestically produced and imported food commodities.
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    Food Price Monitoring and Analysis (FPMA) Bulletin #3, 14 April 2025
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    International prices of maize, wheat and rice dropped in March 2025. Rising trade tensions weighed on market sentiment for maize and wheat. Declines in world prices of grains were further driven by the arrival of the seasonal Southern Hemisphere supplies, weaker global import demand and diminished concerns over crop production concerns in some major exporters. International rice prices also declined, reflecting weak import demand and ample exportable supplies. FAO’s analysis of the latest available domestic staple food price data indicates that prolonged conflicts and macroeconomic challenges have sustained grain prices at elevated year-on-year levels in parts of East Africa and West Africa. In Southern Africa, white maize prices continued to increase in line with the trend that prevailed throughout most of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025. Meanwhile, in the Near East and North Africa region, prices of staple foods such as wheat flour, bread and rice have shown significant volatility over the past year, primarily due to conflicts and climate‑related events. In Central America, white maize prices in March 2025 were lower compared to last year. In South America, wheat and yellow maize prices were generally higher year-on‑year, driven by local strong demand and currency depreciation in some net‑importing countries. In the Eastern Europe, Caucasus and Central Asia region, domestic wheat flour prices remained largely stable and close to year-earlier levels across most net‑wheat importing countries. In Far East Asia and South America, rice prices were generally lower year-on-year, supported by adequate import volumes and increased local supplies from ongoing harvests.
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    Food Price Monitoring and Analysis (FPMA) Bulletin #3, 12 April 2022
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    2022
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    International prices of wheat and coarse grains surged in March as the reduced exports from the Russian Federation and Ukraine worsened already tight global availabilities. Contrasting trends were evident across the market segments for rice, but overall, prices moved little in March. Across most of West Africa, prices of coarse grains continued to increase and were significantly higher year on year, amid lower cross-border trade flows and higher international prices of maize. Additional price support came from reduced outputs in the Sahel as well as from solid export demand in the coastal countries. In East Africa, prices of coarse grains remained firm or increased in March and were generally well above their year-earlier levels. Exceptionally high prices prevailed in South Sudan and the Sudan. In Far East Asia, in Sri Lanka, prices of rice and wheat flour continued to increase in March to new highs due to the depreciation of the national currency and the below-average 2022 “Maha” crop output. For wheat, the firmness in international markets provided additional support. In South America, prices of wheat continued to rise in March to levels ranging from 25 to 75 percent higher year on year, to reach record highs in some countries. The high price levels are due to strong international demand in exporting countries and elevated international quotations in net-importing countries.

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