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FAO/WFP Crop and Food Security Assessment Mission to South Sudan, February 2014

Year of publication 2014

Pages 57

Author Trade and Markets Division

Product type Book (stand-alone)

Series title Special Reports and Alerts

Edition 1

Synopsis (short abstract) In 2013, despite the impact of floods and insecurity in some areas, generally favourable rains and absence of major outbreaks of pests and diseases favoured cereal crop production in the traditional farming sector of South Sudan. • Accordingly, total cereal harvested area in the traditional sector increased by about 2.8 percent resulting in an estimated net cereal production of about 892 000 tonnes, about 13 percent above the revised 2012 estimates and 22 percent above the average of t he previous five years. • Net cereal production from the rain-fed large and small scale mechanized sector in Upper Nile State is estimated at a reduced 57 000 tonnes due to a decline in planted area and a late onset of rains. • Livestock conditions were generally good due to adequate pasture and water availability. • Prices of locally produced cereals have declined in most markets since August 2013 and were below or around their levels in November 2012. Livestock prices, especially for small ruminants, were stable or increasing during the second half of 2013 in most markets. Terms-of-trade for pastoralists have generally improved.

Language English

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    Generally favourable rains and no outbreaks of pests and diseases in 2012, resulted in a net cereal production of about 761 000 tonnes in the traditional sector. At this level, production is about 35 percent above the 2011 estimates and about 6 percent above the average of the previous five years. • With a projected population of about 10.4 million people in 2013, an overall cereal deficit of nearly 371 000 tonnes is estimated, until the next harvest in late 2013. • Livestock body conditio ns are generally good due to adequate pasture and water availability. • Prices of locally produced cereals have declined in most markets since August/September 2012, but still remain higher than in previous seasons. Higher prices of livestock, especially small ruminants, have improved the terms-of-trade for pastoralists.
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    The Mission estimated the 2015 net cereal production in the traditional sector at about 921 000 tonnes, about 9 percent below the 2014 very good output, but still about 16 percent above the last five-year average production. Despite some dry spells between May and August, seasonal rains in 2015 have been generally abundant and prolonged until December. Major reductions in output have been reported in Western Bahr el Ghazal and Eastern Equatoria states due to unfavourable rainfall as well as in W estern Equatoria State due to the disruption of cropping activities following worsening security conditions. The overall cereal deficit in January-December 2016 marketing year is estimated at about 380 000 tonnes, over 130 000 tonnes higher than the deficit estimated for 2015. About 12 percent of the population was estimated to be severely food insecure at end of 2015, a record level during the harvest period. Food security worsened not only in conflict affected areas of Greater Upper Nile Regi on, but also in other states as a consequence of the economic downturn and skyrocketing prices which limited access to food for most households. In 2016, WFP plans to assist 3 million people providing about 315 000 tonnes of food. Although a large component addresses the needs of people directly affected by conflict in the Greater Upper Nile Region, WFP assistance will also focus on school feeding, nutrition interventions and food for assets programs. The Mission stressed that the achievement o f a stable and lasting peace is paramount in order to progress in terms of agricultural development and improving food security. In order to strengthen local production and reduce the food gap in 2017, FAO’s emergency response will assist over 3 million people with agricultural inputs (often through a system of seed fairs and vouchers) to support planting activities, as well as vegetable and fishing kits, and livestock vaccination/treatment. Moreover, FAO is implementing several resilience build ing programs in the Greater Equatoria and Bahr El Ghazal regions.
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    With generally favourable rains and relatively few outbreaks of pests and diseases, cereal production, in the traditional sector, in 2010, is estimated at 695 000 tonnes, about 28.5 percent above the revised post-harvest estimates in 2009, when crops were severely affected by dry weather conditions. Localised dry spells last May and June as well as floods in August and September have affected yields in some areas Animal body conditions are satisfactory due to improved availability of pastu re and water; fishery is expected to yield above average catches this year. Cereal prices have generally declined in the third quarter of 2010, while livestock prices were on the rise, signifying that the terms of trade are now more favourable to pastoralists...
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