Unless decisive action is taken soon, indigenous and tribal peoples will probably not be able to continue safeguarding their forests, as they have done until now. This is partly due to general trends affecting all the region’s forests and partly to trends that specifically affect these territories.
Pressure on Latin America’s forests is increasing. Annual carbon emissions related to changes in forest condition rose in all nine Amazon Basin countries between 2012 and 2016. For the entire Amazon Basin, they increased 200 percent during that period (Walker et al., 2020). In the Plurinational State of Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, and Mesoamerica deforestation has been on the upswing since 2015 (Butler, 2019).
This general trend has also affected the indigenous and tribal territories. Between 2016 and 2018, deforestation rose 150 percent in the indigenous territories in Brazil (Walker et al., 2020). Forest clearing also rose sharply in the indigenous regions of Campeche, Oaxaca, and Yucatan in Mexico and the Caribbean Coast of Nicaragua, among others (Ellis et al., 2017a; Bryan, 2019; López Portillo and Mondragón, 2019).
The indigenous territories in almost all the Amazon Basin countries have suffered from increased forest degradation due to fires, mining, and unsustainable logging since 2012 (Walker et al., 2020). Forests in the indigenous territories of the Plurinational State of Bolivia, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Paraguay have become more fragmented. Consequently, between 2000 and 2016 the area of intact forests in these territories fell by 20 percent in the Plurinational State of Bolivia, 30 percent in Honduras, 42 percent in Nicaragua, and 59 percent in Paraguay (Fa et al., 2020).
The structural trends increasing pressure on the region’s forests include the following:
ECONOMIC
POLITICAL
GOVERNANCE
TECHNOLOGICAL
DEMOGRAPHIC
ENVIRONMENTAL
High international gold prices (Álvarez-Berríos and Aide, 2017) and a power vacuum in Colombia’s post-conflict zones following the peace accords there (Clerici et al., 2020) are relevant shorter-term trends.