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Developing capacities on climate change impact assessment in agriculture in a perspective of decision-making support at national level: case study








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    FAO-MOSAICC: The FAO modelling system for agricultural impacts of climate change to support decision-making in adaptation 2011
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    The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) has developed in partnership with European research institutes an integrated package of models to carry out climate change impact assessment studies at the national level. This package, called FAOMOSAICC (for Modelling System for Agricultural Impacts of Climate Change), allows for climate data downscaling, spatial interpolation, hydrological modelling, and crop and economic simulations, to be carried out sequentially. FAO-MOSAICC is designed to be distributed to national institutions in developing countries. While FAO-MOSAICC can be used for a wide range of analyses (climate change impacts on water resources, crop yields etc.), its ultimate 2 objective is to identify the most robust adaptation strategies to mitigate the potentially adverse effects of climate change on national food security. This paper describes the modelling system with a focus on the Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (DCGE) model that simulates th e effects of climate-change-induced changes in crop yields on national economies over time. To make the use of the model as cheap as possible for use by national institutions, it uses an open source programming language and free software to solve the model. The model can be implemented and solved on Windows and Linux platforms. Some features of the model will be illustrated by a test of the model on Moroccan data with projections over the period 2001-2030.
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    Climate-change impacts on plant pests: a technical resource to support national and regional plant protection organizations 2024
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    Climate change is having an impact on ecosystems and agricultural production systems throughout the world. It influences international trade flows of plants and plant products and it will change the infectivity, severity and distribution of plant pests throughout the world. Preventive, mitigation and adaptation measures by national plant protection organizations (NPPOs) and regional plant protection organizations (RPPOs) are essential to limit the international spread of pests adapting to climate change.Climate-change impacts on ecosystems, pests and vectors also threaten the international trading system, as international trade provides a pathway for pests and vectors to spread into new areas of the world. To facilitate safe international trade in plants and plant products, it is therefore imperative to strengthen national, regional and international phytosanitary capacities regarding climate change. The aim of this document is to provide technical and operational advice to NPPOs and RPPOs on how to effectively assess and manage the pest risk that is a consequence of climate change.
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    Assessing the impacts of climate change on the agriculture sectors in Malawi
    The MOSAICC methodology for national adaptation planning
    2020
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    This case study describes the implementation of the capacity development tool modelling system for agricultural impacts of climate change (MOSAICC) in Malawi and its role in (1) strengthening the technical capacity of national institutions and (2) producing evidence-based results. MOSAICC is a FAO tool developed to build the national capacity of key ministries and research institutions to produce after medium- to long-term (2040 and 2070 respectively) impact assessments of climate change on the agriculture sector.

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