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Productive Impact of Ethiopia’s Social Cash Transfer Pilot Programme

A From Protection to Production (PtoP) report









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    Zambia’s Child Grant Programme: 24-month impact report on productive activities and labour allocation
    Zambia country case study report
    2014
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    This report uses data from a 24-month randomized experimental design impact evaluation to analyse the impact of the Zambia Child Grant Programme (CGP) on individual and household decision making including labour supply, the accumulation of productive assets and other productive activities. The general framework for empirical analysis is based on a comparison of programme beneficiaries with a group of controls interviewed before the programme began and again two years later, using both single and double difference estimators. The findings reveal overall positive impacts of the CGP across a broad spectrum of outcome indicators and suggest that the programme is achieving many of its intended objectives. Specifically, we find strong positive impacts on household food consumption and investments in productive activities, including crop and livestock production. The programme is associated with large increases in both the ownership and profitability of non-farm family businesses; reductions in household debt levels; increases in household savings; and concordant shifts in labour supply from agricultural wage labour to better and more desirable forms of employment. The analysis reveals important heterogeneity in programme impacts, with estimated magnitudes varying over household and individual characteristics.
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    Evaluating the impacts of cash and complementary agricultural support interventions in fragile settings
    The case of Somalia
    2022
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    This study examines the FAO cash plus agriculture program in Somalia. This multi-faceted intervention provides agricultural inputs, training and cash transfers to vulnerable agro-pastoralist households living in districts and villages that experienced severe weather shocks. We exploit variations in the implementation of this program to assess the effect of receiving inputs only and inputs plus cash on a range of protective and productive outcomes. Specifically, we make use of household survey data collected in 2019 and apply a quasi-experimental Inverse Probability Weighted Regression Analysis (IPWRA) matching approach to estimate the impact of the two different interventions on food security, assets, adoption of inputs and adoption of agricultural practices. We find positive and significant impacts on a number of productive outcomes and some difference between the two treatments: while inputs seem to increase asset wealth, cash plus reduces food insecurity and higher levels of income diversification, suggesting that the cash component facilitates investments in livelihoods diversification. Moreover, we find evidence of heterogeneous impacts under conditions of weather shocks, and between socio-economic segments of the population.
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    Analytical framework for evaluating the productive impact of cash transfer programmes on household behaviour
    Methodological guidelines for the From Protection to Production (PtoP) project
    2013
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    The From Protection to Production (PtoP) project is carrying out rigorous quantitative impact evaluations of cash transfers programs in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) to examine the economic impacts such programs may have on beneficiary households and individuals. These methodological guidelines describe the methodology used for the household-level analysis of economic and productive impacts. They include a review the conceptual framework underlying the analysis, detailed sections on the methods used in the different contexts of each impact evaluation: difference in difference estimators, propensity score matching and regression discontinuity design, a discussion of the specific evaluation design of each of the seven countries participating in the PtoP project.

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