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Book (series)Analysis of alternative routes of public investment in agriculture and their impact on economic growth and rural poverty reduction in Nicaragua 2020
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In the face of the economic downturn that Nicaragua experienced in 2018 and the need for a recovery, the study provides a comparative analysis of how investments in productive infrastructure in different agri-food sectors would impact growth and poverty. The analysis is based on scenarios generated through an economy-wide model representing the Nicaraguan economy and its sectors. The model includes financing constraints and the study explores different financing options for the new investments. -
Book (stand-alone)Soybean prices, economic growth and poverty in Argentina and Brazil 2017
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No results found.This paper analyzes the relationship between international soybean prices and economic growth; and poverty in Argentina and Brazil, with an emphasis on the period after 2003. It analyzes the beginning of soybean activity in both countries, showing the importance of international prices and macroeconomic policies in the evolution of the two industries, as well as the prominence of soy as an export commodity during the 1990s. It highlights the importance of soybeans and presented the structure of the soybean value chain in both countries. We then move to analyze soybean prices and their relation to growth, including how changes in international soybean prices were transmitted to producer prices, and the relationship between prices and poverty reduction both in Argentina and Brazil. Policy implications are then analized as a conclusion of the paper. -
Brochure, flyer, fact-sheetThe contribution of public investment in the agricultural sector to economic growth and rural poverty reduction
A high-level dialogue in Nicaragua based on a prospective analysis
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In 2018, the government of Nicaragua requested technical assistance from FAO to carry out a prospective analysis of the Nicaraguan economy and the evolution of rural poverty, in the context of the restrictive economic conditions experienced in the country that year. Thus, the FAO Agricultural Development Economics Division (ESA) in Rome, together with the FAO Country Office in Nicaragua (FAONI) and in close coordination and support with the country’s Ministry of Finance and Public Credit (MHCP), the Central Bank of Nicaragua (BCN) and the Ministry of Agriculture (MAG), developed the study “Analysis of alternative ways of public investment and its impact on economic growth, agriculture and poverty reduction in Nicaragua.” This analysis generated quantitative evidence on the impact of agriculture on economic growth and poverty reduction. The results are clear: in all simulated scenarios, it was verified that an increase – by a value of 0.5 or 1 percent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – of public investment in the agricultural sector generates economic growth, which is reflected, among other things, in GDP growth that varies between 0.8 and 3.5 percent annually through 2030 depending on the scenario. Moreover, it is observed that the difference in the total poverty rate in rural areas with respect to the base scenario would range between 0.5 and 2.25 percentage points in the same period, depending on the agricultural investment scenario. With regard to extreme poverty, the difference is projected to be between 0.16 and 0.31 points. The ongoing high-level dialogue and collaboration between FAO and Nicaragua’s economic and fiscal policy-making authorities is an excellent example, which should be replicated elsewhere, of how FAO can influence a country’s public policies.
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