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Crop Prospects and Food Situation, No. 2 June 2016

Year of publication 2016

Place of publication Rome, Italy ;

Pages 38 p.

Author Trade and Markets Division

Publisher FAO ;

Product type Book (series)

Category Bulletin

Series title Crop Prospects and Food Situation

Series number feb/16

Edition 1

Synopsis (short abstract) Global cereal production prospects continue to improve although latest forecasts indicate that world cereal output in 2016 would still fall slightly short of the projected demand in 2016/17. COUNTRIES IN NEED OF EXTERNAL ASSISTANCE: FAO estimates that 37 countries, including 28 in Africa, are in need of external assistance for food. Persisting conflicts, acutely undermining agricultural capacities and drought‑induced production declines, frequently linked to the now dissipating El Niño, are the main causes stressing food security in 2016. In AFRICA: The early aggregate outlook for the 2016 cereal crops points to a fall in production, mostly resulting from expected drought-reduced harvests in North and Southern Africa. In Central and West Africa, 2016 early crop prospects are uncertain, largely due to unfavourable weather and conflicts, while the overall outlook improved in East Africa, on account of recent favourable rains that eliminated early seasonal dryness. In ASIA: The outlook fo r 2016 points to a production recovery in the Far East, with a steep increase foreseen in India expected to more than offset a cut in China’s output. By contrast, cereal outputs are likely to fall in the Asian CIS subregion and in the Near East, where several countries continue to be severely affected by conflicts. In LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN: Aggregate cereal production in 2016 is forecast to decline on expectations of reduced crops in the key-producing countries of Brazil and Mexico, bu t still remain above average, mostly owing to a larger output anticipated in Argentina. Production recoveries from the 2015 drought‑reduced levels are foreseen in Central America and the Caribbean countries.

Language English

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