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FPMA 简报 #1, 2018年02月16日

食品价格趋势月度报告












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    FPMA 简报 #11, 2017年12月11日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2017
    11月份小麦和玉米国际价格保持相对稳定,原因是供应形势良好,而稻米出口价格则走强,原因是采购意愿增强和汇率走势。 在东部非洲,随着2017年作物收获工作的推进,11月份多数国家谷物价格继续回落,除少数例外之外价格大体处于或低于一年前水平。相反,在苏丹,部分市场价格大涨并达创纪录高点,主要原因是受到平行市场苏丹镑大幅贬值的支撑。 在中美洲,随着市场流通恢复正常,11月份白玉米价格回落;此前上个月的大雨造成市场扰乱。国内供应量充足使价格低于一年前水平。
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    FPMA 简报 #2, 2017年3月10日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2017
    2月份国际谷物出口价格进一步上涨。小麦和玉米价格主要是受到需求旺盛的支撑,但全球供应充裕且2017年收成早期前景总体看好则制约了上涨幅度。稻米国际价格也出现上涨,主要原因是汇率走势和巴斯马蒂米销售预期趋旺。 在东部非洲,2月份谷物价格仍处于或接近创纪录高点,这是由于受到2016/17年度收成因严重旱情而大减的推动。水资源和草场供应不足导致牲畜生长状况恶化以及农民削减畜群数量则造成牲畜价格大幅下滑。 在尼日利亚,1月份主粮的价格(包括谷物和根茎作物)大幅上涨,达到或接近创纪录水平。本国货币持续贬值、运输成本剧增和国内局势动荡等因素抵消了2016年收成高于常年水平而对价格形成的下行压力还有余。
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    FPMA 简报 #6, 2017年7月10日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2017
    国际小麦价格普遍上涨,原因是某些主产国2017年作物长势不佳导致对质量的担忧。玉米出口价格仍保持总体不变,而稻米价格则继续上涨,主要原因是需求旺盛。 在东部非洲,随着2017年新作物收获工作的推进,6月份谷物价格稳中有降,但若干国家仍接近创纪录水平。过去几个月价格出现大幅攀升,原因是2016年第二季作物旱灾减产造成供应紧张,而且由于雨情不佳和病虫害影响今年收成的总体表现存在隐忧。 在亚洲,源源不断的需求对6月份出口国的稻米国内价格提供了进一步支撑。在该区域其他地方,孟加拉国稻米价格进一步上涨并达创纪录高点,原因是2017年主季作物蒙受损失,加之2016年产量和进口量双双下降。在斯里兰卡,2017年预期减产继续对稻米价格给予了支撑。

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