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Anticipatory Action Protocol

Agricultural drought – Lao People's Democratic Republic











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    Brochure, flyer, fact-sheet
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    Anticipatory Action Protocol
    Agricultural drought – Pakistan
    2023
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    The arid region in Pakistan is prone to agricultural droughts. A shorter than usual wet season and below-average rainfall during the season may easily result in a dire situation for the rural population. The Anticipatory Action Protocol for agricultural drought aims to guide the government and partners to systematically monitor the likely impact of the hazard and use forecast information to trigger specific anticipatory actions, which are designed to safeguard lives and livelihoods.
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    Scaling up Anticipatory Action across Southeast Asia
    April 2024
    2024
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    Over the past five years, capacities for Anticipatory Action (AA) systems for drought have been built across several countries in Southeast Asia. Such AA systems have been created in close collaboration between the national governments and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). These rely on a Combined Drought Index model to signal the looming threat of dry conditions on agriculture production, serving as a guide for initiating AA. El Niño was declared in July 2023 and is projected to last until April 2024, with ENSO-neutral conditions becoming the most likely category in May-July 2024. Historically, El Niño has been associated with erratic rainfall patterns and heightened temperatures, elevating the risk of drought in the sub region. In March 2024, the Combined Drought Index in Viet Nam, Cambodia, and Lao People’s Democratic Republic reached the activation threshold and the triggering of drought AA was confirmed after field verification. This brief provides an overview of these alerts and urges government bodies and partners to intensify anticipatory action efforts for protecting livelihoods, water security and food security, particularly in vulnerable hot-spots across the four countries.
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    Booklet
    Technical study
    Exploring the application of Artificial Intelligence for triggering drought anticipatory action: A Timor-Leste case study
    Technical Working paper
    2024
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    This research describes the process of developing an agricultural drought-triggering methodology for anticipatory action (AA) within the context of Timor-Leste, an Indo-Pacific nation grappling with limited observation data. Drought is a severe and recurring natural hazard in Timor-Leste, significantly impacting livelihoods and exacerbating food insecurity due to the compounding effects of the climate crisis. This study provides a comprehensive understanding of the methodology’s development, highlighting the collaborative establishment of an AA protocol with the government and the humanitarian community, spearheaded by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations and the Government of Timor-Leste. Overall, this study aims to facilitate a transition towards a preemptive approach for disaster risk management and highlight the advances of the introduction of Artificial Intelligence (AI) moving forward.

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    While some progress and recovery have been made in recent years, the world is still above pre-COVID-19 pandemic levels and far from eradicating hunger and food insecurity by 2030 (SDG Target 2.1). Similarly, despite some progress in the global nutrition targets, the world is not on track to achieve SDG Target 2.2. Among other factors, persistent food price inflation has slowed this momentum.The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2025 highlights how elevated inflation in many countries has undermined purchasing power and, especially among low-income populations, access to healthy diets. The report documents how high food price inflation is associated with increases in food insecurity and child malnutrition. Vulnerable groups, including low-income households, women, and rural communities, can be particularly affected by food price inflation, risking setbacks in the fight against hunger and malnutrition.In response to these challenges and to prevent future price shocks, the report examines policy measures adopted by countries, and outlines what is necessary going forwards. It stresses the importance of coherent implementation of fiscal and monetary policies to stabilize markets, promote open and resilient trade, and protect vulnerable populations. Additionally, it calls for better data systems and sustained investment in resilient agrifood systems to build long-term food security and nutrition. These coordinated actions are vital to reignite progress towards ending hunger and malnutrition by 2030.
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