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GIEWS FPMA 简报 #5 CH, 2019年6月11日

食品价格趋势月度报告











See full version of FPMA Bulletin #5, 11 June 2019 (in English only)



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    6月份,天气因素把美国玉米出口价格推高至五年高点。国际小麦价格也上涨,而稻米国际价格则保持总体稳定。 在东部非洲,由于收获不断推进且季节晚期普降好雨改善了收成前景,这扭转了过去几个月玉米价格上行的态势。但价格仍大大高于一年前水平。 在南部非洲,随着2019年作物收获工作的开局,5月份玉米价格普遍面临下行压力。相反,在津巴布韦,由于本币持续贬值且2019年谷物作物收成前景大减,推动制粉业上调了价格,从而造成玉米和面粉的零售价格大幅上涨。 在南美洲,6月份主要生产国和出口国阿根廷和巴西黄玉米国内价格上涨,原因是国际需求异常旺盛;尽管正值作物收获且有望获得丰收。
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    GIEWS FPMA 简报 #8 CH, 2019年11月12日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
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    10月份国际小麦价格在经历了此前几个月回落之后出现上涨,原因是出口需求旺盛且南半球主产国产量前景走低。玉米价格也上涨,这是由于受到美国供应量减少及阿根廷和乌克兰销量增加的支撑。相反,需求低迷和收获压力造成国际稻米价格下滑。 在南部非洲,若干国家供应紧张和货币疲软继续对主粮玉米的价格形成支持,该次区域玉米价格仍处于高位。 在东部非洲,该次区域若干国家10月份粗粮价格大大高于一年前水平,主要原因是减产。在苏丹和南苏丹,粗粮价格保持稳定或略有回落,但仍处于高位,原因是宏观经济形势艰难。 在亚洲独联体区域,10月份塔吉克斯坦和吉尔吉斯斯坦的面粉价格在保持几个月相对稳定之后出现了异常上涨,主要原因是受到区域出口市场价格上涨的推动。
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    GIEWS FPMA 简报 #9 CH, 2019年12月11日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2019
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    11月份国际小麦价格总体上涨,但全球供应量巨大的因素限制了涨幅;玉米国际价格也出现上涨,但美国除外,在出口外销步伐缓慢的背景下价格走弱。国际稻米价格跌至六个月低点,这是由于受到新作物上市和需求疲软的压制。 在南部非洲,津巴布韦的粮食价格在经济危机的背景下继续大幅攀升。在其他地方,供应紧张和货币疲软继续对谷物价格施加上行压力,价格年同比有较大幅度上涨,若干国家价格处于创纪录高点。 在东部非洲,11月份粗粮价格总体上涨,年同比计算达高位,其中季节性趋势因若干国家减产以及苏丹和南苏丹宏观经济形势艰难而放大。 在亚洲独联体国家,11月份塔吉克斯坦和吉尔吉斯斯坦面粉价格继续出现非正常上涨,这是由于受到区域出口市场价格走高的推动。

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