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Rice Market Monitor - April 2010

Trade and Markets Division











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    Rice Market Monitor - March 2007 2007
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    Estimates of world paddy production in 2006 have been cut by 2 million tonnes since December 2006, to 629 million tonnes. At that level, the 2006 paddy season, just concluded, would yield 4 million tonnes less than the record achieved in 2005. Much of the contraction is anticipated to reflect smaller crops in Asia, which were negatively affected by an irregular pattern of the monsoons and insect attacks. Production also fell in Latin America and the Caribbean, but rose in Africa for the fifth consecutive year. Results were mixed in the rest of the world.
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    Rice Market Monitor - September 2003 2003
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    Since its last assessment, FAO has raised its forecast of world paddy production in 2003 by about 800 000 tonnes to 593 million tonnes, mainly reflecting an improved outlook for China. Adjustments were also made to the official estimates of production last year. So, based on current prospects for 2003 and a revised figure for 2002, global paddy production is anticipated to rise by 3 percent, or 18 million tonnes.
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    FAO Rice Market Monitor - December 2014 2014
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    With the 2014 season fairly advanced, firmer crop estimates have been issued, which have resulted overall in a slight increase of 250 000 tonnes in the global paddy production forecast. At country level, prospects for the 2014 season output have improved since the October release of this report, particularly for China, Indonesia, the Republic of Korea, Nigeria, and Viet Nam. The higher figures more than compensated for a downgrading in India, hit by the cyclonic storm Hudhud , and in the Democra tic People's Republic of Korea and Thailand, which both endured severe precipitation shortfalls. Disruptions to agricultural activities caused by the Ebola outbreak also worsened prospects for Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone. At 744.7 million tonnes (496.6 million tonnes, milled basis), the resulting 2014 global production forecast would be slightly (0.2 percent) lower than the 2013 level, reflecting a 0. 1 percent contraction of both plantings and yields to 162.9 million hectares and 4.57 tonn es per hectare , respectively brought about by unfavourable weather conditions.

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