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GIEWS Special Alert No. 351 - The Islamic Republic of Pakistan, 29 September 2022

Heavy monsoon rains and subsequent flooding affected large numbers of people and caused widespread devastation to the agricultural sector











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    Famine is expected to occur in Bay Region between October and December 2022, if humanitarian assistance is not urgently scaled up. About 6.7 million people, over 40 percent of the total population, are projected to face severe acute food insecurity, including over 300 000 people in IPC Phase 5 (Catastrophe). The dire food insecurity situation is the consequence of a prolonged drought that began in late 2020, compounded by the protracted conflict and hikes in international prices of foodstuffs and fuel caused by the war in Ukraine. As meteorological forecasts point to below-average October–December 2022 “Deyr” rains, food security conditions are expected to deteriorate.
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    Food insecurity at unprecedented levels in most coastal and Sahelian countries
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    An estimated 27.3 million people are facing acute food insecurity between March and May 2022. This number is projected to increase to an unprecedented 38.3 million between June and August 2022 if humanitarian interventions are not scaled up. The alarming high level of food insecurity is due to localized shortfalls in cereal production in 2021, worsening conflicts, high food prices and macroeconomic challenges compounded by the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. The number of food insecure people could increase above initial projections in the second half of 2022 as spikes in food and fuel prices, exacerbated by the war in Ukraine, are likely to worsen access to food. Further aggravating risk factors to food insecurity are the high prices of agricultural inputs, notably fertilizers, persisting insecurity and forecast localized unfavourable weather conditions that could have additional negative impacts on agricultural production.
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    GIEWS Update - The Lao People’s Democratic Republic, 22 September 2022
    Soaring prices and reduced availability of agricultural inputs curb 2022 agricultural production prospects, increasing risks for acute food insecurity
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    Reduced supplies and soaring prices of most agricultural inputs raise concerns about production of the 2022 main “wet” season crops, including paddy, the country’s main food staple. Prices of livestock inputs surged since April 2022, resulting in distress sales of animals by farmers. Prices of most food items increased since the beginning of 2022 and reached record or near‑record highs in July 2022. Acute food insecurity deteriorated since early 2022, with most households gradually adopting food‑related coping strategies, including reducing meal sizes and limiting diversification.

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