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GIEWS Special Alert No. 350 - Somalia, 27 September 2022

Unless humanitarian assistance is urgently scaled up, famine is expected in late 2022 due to unprecedented multi‑season drought











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    In Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia, severe and prolonged dry weather conditions raise food security concerns
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    Severe dryness in October and in the first half of November 2021 in several areas of Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia had a negative impact on crop planting and germination. According to weather forecasts, the remainder of the October–December rainy season is likely to be characterized by below-average rainfall amounts, as a result cereal production is expected at below‑average levels. Significant rainfall deficits since early October 2020 have severely affected pastoral areas and drought is causing widespread shortages of water and pasture with an increase in animal emaciation and deaths. The food insecurity situation is expected to deteriorate in the coming months, with the number of severely food insecure people estimated at 2.4 million in Kenya and 3.5 million in Somalia in late 2021. Further increases are likely in early 2022. It is urgently needed to scale up livelihood support and food assistance interventions as recurrent climatic shocks have largely undermined household resilience.
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    GIEWS Special Alert No. 341 - Somalia 2017
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    Severe dryness during the whole month of October in the main cereal-producing areas negatively impacted the establishment and development of “deyr” crops, expected to be harvested in January 2018. The dismal performance of the rainy season has exacerbated water and pasture shortages in pastoral areas, already affected by three consecutive poor rainy seasons. With an already dire food security situation, a continued and effective provision of livelihood support and food assistance is needed to prevent famine outcomes.
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    Population of the Gaza Strip at risk of famine due to conflict
    2024
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    In the Gaza Strip, the ongoing conflict has caused the collapse of local livelihood systems and displaced about 1.9 million people. Between December 2023 and February 2024, the entire population (about 2.2 million people) is estimated to face high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 [Crisis] and above), including 576 000 people in IPC Phase 5 (Catastrophe). The risk of famine is very high, as the threshold for acute food insecurity has already been exceeded, while the thresholds for acute malnutrition and non-trauma mortality may also be breached by mid‑2024 if hostilities continue. The cessation of hostilities and unimpeded humanitarian access are urgently needed to avert the risk of famine.

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