FPMA Bulletin #7

EST/GIEWS

FPMA Bulletin #7

Year of publication 2016

Pages 18 p.

Author EST/GIEWS

Publisher FAO ;

Product type Newsletter

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Synopsis (short abstract) International grain prices declined significantly in July, with those of wheat weighed down by seasonal harvest pressure and maize quotations falling on account of generally favourable weather for developing crops. Prices of rice showed mixed trends in Asian origins, while they increased in main exporting countries of South America. In Africa, food prices soared in July in South Sudan driven by the recent upsurge in insecurity. In Nigeria, the weak local currency continued to exert upward press ure on cereal prices, while in Malawi maize prices rose steeply for the second consecutive month mainly as a result of the sharply drought-reduced 2016 harvest. In South America, the increasing trend in yellow maize prices of the past several months halted under downward pressure from the ongoing 2016 harvests in the main maize producing countries, Argentina and Brazil, although prices remain at high levels. Elsewhere in the subregion, prices generally increased as a result of the reduced maize harvests expected this year.

Language English

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International prices of wheat fell in September, pressured by stronger export competition. Prices of maize also declined, reflecting expectations of a large crop in the United States of America. Export prices of rice generally declined. In East Africa, prices of grains remained at levels well below those a year earlier, with the notable exceptions of the Sudan and South Sudan, due to the depreciation of the local currencies and high production and transport costs. In Central America, dry weather-induced losses to the main season crops continued to provide upward pressure to prices of white maize in most countries of the subregion, particularly in Nicaragua, where prices rose sharply in September to record highs, more than double their values a year earlier. In South America, in Argentina and Brazil, the sharp depreciation of the domestic currencies, which has boosted exports, contributed to support prices of grains in September and kept them at levels well above those a year earlier.
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International wheat prices showed mixed trends in November but remained below their year-earlier levels on account of ample global supplies. Those of maize were relatively stable with the downward pressure from expectations of bumper crops offset by strong import demand. New-crop arrivals and sluggish demand kept quotations of rice generally under pressure. In East Africa, cereal prices increased in most countries and were at levels well above those a year earlier due to localized production sho rtfalls and uncertain prospects for current crops in some areas. In South Sudan, the further sharp depreciation of the local currency underpinned staple food prices, which increased in November after some declines in the past months. In West Africa, adequate supplies from the good 2016 harvests and carryover stocks from last year’s production led to further price declines in most countries of the subregion. In Nigeria, however, the weak local currency and persisting civil insecurity limited the decline and kept prices at record or near-record highs.