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Monitoring climatic indicators

Rainfall seasonal forecast for the period July-August-September 2004 in West Africa, Chad and Cameroun and potential impact on vector-borne diseases










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    Technical study
    Monitoring climatic indicators in West Africa 2005
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    Seasonal forecasts produced for the West African region seem to indicate an increased probability of observing a wet and long rainy season from July to September 2005. If the current forecast is confirmed in the coming weeks / months, there will be a higher risk of vector-borne disease occurrence towards October-November in high risk areas of West Africa. Active and passive disease surveillance for Rift Valley fever and other vector-borne diseases need to be strengthened during the coming weeks and surveillance activities should be stepped up.
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    Brochure
    Real-time monitoring and forecasting of Rift Valley fever in Africa 2019
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    Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a vector-borne disease that severely impacts livelihoods, national and international markets, and human health. RVF is currently limited to Africa and parts of the Near East but has the recognized potential to expand globally. The disease in livestock is spread primarily by mosquitoes and the movement of animals. Clinical disease has been observed in sheep, goats, cattle, buffaloes, camels and humans. RVF is zoonotic. It can result in widespread febrile illness in humans, associated with severe and sometimes fatal sequelae in under one percent of cases. Outbreaks of RVF are closely associated with climate anomalies such as periods of heavy rains and prolonged flooding, which increase habitat suitability for vector populations, thus influencing the risk of disease emergence, transmission and spread. In this context, Early Warning Systems represent an essential tool providing information on occurring animal health hazards that might evolve into disasters unless early response is undertaken. To enable national authorities to implement measures preventing outbreaks, FAO developed the RVF Monitoring/Early Warning System. This tool has been crucial to successfully forecast hotspots for RVF vector amplification, providing recommendations and early warning messages for countries at risk of RVF outbreaks.
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    Book (series)
    Technical study
    Climate Models Predict Persistent Above-Average Rains and Risk of Flooding in East Africa: FAO, OIE and WHO Warn Countries to Remain Vigilant about Rift Valley Fever
    December 2014. Vol. 31
    2014
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    Rift Valley fever (RVF) is an arthropod-borne arboviral disease that predominantly affects ruminants and humans, causing major socio-economic implications.

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    Background paper for The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2018
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    Global climate studies show that not only temperatures are increasing and precipitation levels are becoming more varied, all projections indicate these trends will continue. It is therefore imperative that we understand changes in climate over agricultural areas and their impacts on agriculture production and food security. This study presents new analysis on the impact of changing climate on agriculture and food security, by examining the evidence on recent climate variability and extremes over agricultural areas and the impact of these on agriculture and food security. It shows that more countries are exposed to increasing climate variability and extremes and the frequency (the number of years exposed in a five-year period) and intensity (the number of types of climate extremes in a five-year period) of exposure over agricultural areas have increased. The findings of this study are compelling and bring urgency to the fact that climate variability and extremes are proliferating and intensifying and are contributing to a rise in global hunger. The world’s 2.5 billion small-scale farmers, herders, fishers, and forest-dependent people, who derive their food and income from renewable natural resources, are most at risk and affected. Actions to strengthen the resilience of livelihoods and food systems to climate variability and extremes urgently need to be scaled up and accelerated.
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    حالة الأغذية والزراعة 2021
    زيادة قدرة النظم الزراعية والغذائية على الصمود أمام الصدمات وحالات الإجهاد
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