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Book (series)BulletinFPMA 简报 #4, 2016年5月10日 食品价格趋势月度报告 20164月份小麦国际价格走势不一,但仍低于一年前水平,主要原因是2016年产量前景看好。相反,玉米出口价格普遍上涨,这是由于受到出口需求强劲以及南美洲2016年产量存在隐忧的推动。 在亚洲,4月份出口国稻米价格上涨,原因是厄尔尼诺现象引发的干旱天气预计将导致2015年次季作物减产。 在南非,随着当前收获工作的推进,白玉米价格继续从2月份的创纪录水平回落,但与一年前相比仍处高位,这是由于受到供应紧张和收成前景不佳的支撑。在尼日利亚,货币疲软引发国内粗粮价格的进一步上涨,其中高粱价格处于创纪录高点。南苏丹的价格也出现大涨。 在阿根廷,由于本国货币疲软且近期取消了出口关税,出口势头强劲,这一因素把4月份的玉米价格推高至创纪录高点,也把小麦价格推高至比一年前水平翻了一番的高位。同样,在巴西,玉米价格主要也受到出口量增加的支撑,但饲料产业的大量国内需求也对价格形成了支撑。
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Book (series)BulletinFPMA 简报 (摘录) , 2016年3月
食品价格趋势月度报告
20162月份国际小麦价格回落,原因是贸易活动减少;而由于需求增强,玉米价格则走高。国际稻米价格因产地不同而走势不一。总体上看,谷物价格仍低于去年同期。 在南部非洲,2月份玉米价格继续攀升并处于创纪录高点,但涨幅放缓。东部非洲若干国家价格也出现上涨并达明显高于一年前的水平,主要原因是受到国内供应量减少的支撑。在西部非洲,1月份尼日利亚粗粮价格大幅上扬。 在南美洲,2月份若干国家谷物价格大幅上涨。特别是在阿根廷、巴西和哥伦比亚,价格处于创纪录高点或大大高于一年前水平,主要原因是本国货币贬值。 -
Book (series)BulletinFPMA 食品价格趋势月度报告 简报#3, 2016年4月11 20163月份,全球供应量继续保持高位的前景使得小麦和玉米的国际价格面临下行压力。亚洲的稻米出口价格总体走强,但仍低于去年同期水平。 在东部非洲,3月份粗粮价格进一步上涨,在原本已出高位的基础上继续走强,尤其是在南苏丹。在南部非洲,虽然南非价格出现一定程度回落,但价格仍明显高于一年前水平,原因是供应紧张且2016年产量前景不佳。在西部非洲,尼日利亚价格继续大幅上涨,主要原因是本国货币贬值。 在南美洲,若干国家的货币弱势继续对谷物价格施加上行压力,价格仍处于相对高位,特别是在阿根廷和巴西。在哥伦比亚,本国货币贬值加之今年产量前景不佳已经在3月份把价格推高至创纪录高点。
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