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GIEWS Special Alert No. 343 - Southern Africa - 26 February 2018

Erratic rains and an intense dry period in January lowers 2018 cereal production prospects












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    GIEWS Special Alert No. 345 - East Africa, 23 April 2019
    Severe dryness at the start of 2019 first rainy season and unfavourable weather forecasts raise food security concerns
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    Severe dryness prevailed in March 2019 and in the first half of April in large parts of Eastern Africa, as the Tropical Cyclone “Idai” redirected precipitations away from the subregion. Weather forecasts previously pointed to average to above-average March-May rains, but subsequent updates predicted dry conditions in April and a mixed performance of rains in May depending on the locality. The current dry weather conditions are severely affecting pastoral areas, compounding the impact of the poor 2018 October-December rains and raising major food security concerns. The severe dry conditions impacted planting and germination of crops in several areas, and crop production is expected at well below-average levels. Major areas of concern are northern and eastern Kenya, Somalia, southeastern Ethiopia, Uganda and northeastern United Republic of Tanzania. Recurrent climatic shocks have undermined household resilience. Urgent support to agricultural livelihoods is critically needed.
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    GIEWS Special Alert No. 352 - Southern Africa, 23 April 2024
    El Niño-linked drought to cause cereal production declines and spur a surge in import needs
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    El Niño-linked drought has caused widespread crop damage and wilting in Southern Africa, with 2024 harvests expected at below-average levels. Import requirements forecast to increase steeply and supplies likely to be sourced from outside of the Southern African region. The number of acutely food insecure people could increase in 2024/25.
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    GIEWS Special Alert No. 348 - East Africa, 18 November 2021
    In Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia, severe and prolonged dry weather conditions raise food security concerns
    2021
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    Severe dryness in October and in the first half of November 2021 in several areas of Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia had a negative impact on crop planting and germination. According to weather forecasts, the remainder of the October–December rainy season is likely to be characterized by below-average rainfall amounts, as a result cereal production is expected at below‑average levels. Significant rainfall deficits since early October 2020 have severely affected pastoral areas and drought is causing widespread shortages of water and pasture with an increase in animal emaciation and deaths. The food insecurity situation is expected to deteriorate in the coming months, with the number of severely food insecure people estimated at 2.4 million in Kenya and 3.5 million in Somalia in late 2021. Further increases are likely in early 2022. It is urgently needed to scale up livelihood support and food assistance interventions as recurrent climatic shocks have largely undermined household resilience.

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