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Crop Prospects and Food Situation - No. 4, December 2011










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    Early prospects for the 2008 wheat crop are favourable. With the winter wheat planting virtually complete in the northern hemisphere, latest estimates point to a significant increase in the global wheat area, in response to current high prices and the removal of the compulsory land set-aside for 2008 in the EU, the world’s largest producer. FAO’s latest forecast of the 2007 world cereal production has been revised downwards to 2 101 million tonnes, which is still record and substantially hi gher than last year. Most of the increase is in coarse grains, especially maize in the United States. In the LIFDCs, as a group, 2008 cereal production is forecast to increase only marginally. However, if the largest countries, China and India, are excluded, the aggregate cereal output of the remaining countries is seen to register a significant decline...
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    Crop Prospects and Food Situation - No. 4, December 2013 2013
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    Latest estimates confirm a large increase in 2013 world cereal output; early prospects for 2014 wheat crop are mostly favourable. The benchmark United States wheat export price declined in November on generally favourable 2014 crop prospects. Prices of maize and rice also eased somewhat and were at levels well below those of a year earlier. Cereal imports of LIFDCs for 2013/14 are estimated to increase by some 4 percent, mainly reflecting reduced harvests in Africa and increased de mand in Egypt. In Western Africa, in several parts of the Sahel, especially in Chad, Mali, Mauritania, Niger and Senegal, crops and pastures have been affected this year by a late onset and early cessation of rains, which could lead to a new surge in food insecurity and malnutrition in the 2013/14 marketing year....
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