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Perspectivas de cosechas y situación alimentaria - No1 marzo 2011










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    El primer pronóstico de la FAO relativo a la producción mundial de trigo en 2012 se cifra en 690 millones de toneladas, 10 millones de toneladas menos que el volumen récord del año pasado, pero todavía la segunda cosecha mayor. El nivel de la superficie plantada sigue siendo elevado en respuesta a las perspectivas favorables para los precios, pero se supone que los rendimientos volverán a la media tras los niveles excelentes obtenidos en algunos países. n Los precios internacionales de los cer eales se afirmaron en las últimas semanas debido a la escasez de los suministros de trigo y a las preocupaciones por el impacto del frío riguroso imperante en Europa y la CEI. También aumentaron los precios del maíz, impulsados principalmente por una demanda de importaciones más sólida en Asia, favorecida por un dólar más débil as� como por las preocupaciones acerca de las perspectivas para las cosechas en América del Sur. Los precios del arroz, sin embargo, siguieron estando bajo una presión a la baja debido a una demanda de importaciones generalmente débil y a una animada competencia entre los exportadores...
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    El primer pronóstico de la FAO relativo a la producción mundial de trigo en 2013 se cifra en 690 millones de toneladas, alrededor de 28 millones de toneladas más que en 2012 y la segunda producción más grande hasta ahora. El aumento debería de producirse principalmente en Europa, impulsado por una expansión de la superficie en respuesta a los precios altos y, en algunos países, debido a una recuperación prevista en los rendimientos con respecto a los niveles inferiores a la media del año pas ado.

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