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FPMA 简报 #10, 2016年11月10日

食品价格趋势月度报告











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    FPMA 简报 #8, 2016年9月9日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2016
    供应充裕和产量前景改观使谷物价格总体面临下行压力。玉米和稻米价格跌幅最大,而优质小麦价格则因需求旺盛而走强。 在非洲,8月份南苏丹粮食价格回落单仍处高位,而在尼日利亚,货币疲软继续对价格形成支撑。在南部非洲,南非玉米价格下跌使进口国价格回落。 在亚洲,8月份主要出口国稻米国内价格走弱,特别是在泰国,原因是2016年稻谷作物前景基本看好且出口需求总体疲软。 在南美洲,阿根廷黄玉米国内价格从创纪录高点出现较大幅度回落,原因是2016年作物收获工作近期结束,提供了充裕供应,而其他地方价格则总体上涨,原因是今年预计减产。
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    FPMA 简报 #11, 2016年12月9日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2017
    11月份国际小麦价格走势不一,但鉴于全球供应充裕,价格仍低于一年前水平。国际玉米价格则相对平稳,丰产预期带来的下行压力被旺盛的进口需求所抵消。在稻米方面,新作物上市和需求疲软使得价格普遍承压。 在东部非洲,多数国家谷物价格上涨并明显高于一年前水平,原因是局部出现减产且某些地区当季作物前景不明朗。在南苏丹,本国货币进一步大幅贬值对主粮价格形成支撑,在过去几个月一定程度回落的基础上11月出现上涨。 在西部非洲,2016年好收成及去年结转库存带来的充足供应导致该次区域多数国家价格进一步回落。但在尼日利亚,本国货币疲软加之国内动荡不断则抑制了价格下跌势头,价格仍处于或接近创纪录高点。
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    FPMA 简报 #11, 2017年12月11日
    食品价格趋势月度报告
    2017
    11月份小麦和玉米国际价格保持相对稳定,原因是供应形势良好,而稻米出口价格则走强,原因是采购意愿增强和汇率走势。 在东部非洲,随着2017年作物收获工作的推进,11月份多数国家谷物价格继续回落,除少数例外之外价格大体处于或低于一年前水平。相反,在苏丹,部分市场价格大涨并达创纪录高点,主要原因是受到平行市场苏丹镑大幅贬值的支撑。 在中美洲,随着市场流通恢复正常,11月份白玉米价格回落;此前上个月的大雨造成市场扰乱。国内供应量充足使价格低于一年前水平。

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