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粮食展望

市场综述 - 2023年11月












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    Book (series)
    High-profile
    粮食展望
    市场概要 — 2020年6月
    2020
    由于新冠病毒疫情的影响,粮食市场在今后很多个月都将继续面临不确定性。随着大多数市场为全球经济出现大幅衰退而有所准备,但与其他产业相比农业粮食产业很可能面对危机表现出更强的抵御力。 《粮食展望》由粮农组织贸易及市场司在全球信息和预警系统(GIEWS)项下出版。该半年刊主要关注的是影响全球粮食和饲料市场的各种动向。每期报告都对各种商品的产量、利用量、贸易量、库存量和价格进行综合评述并做出短期预测,也刊出针对不同议题的专题文章。 《粮食展望》与GIEWS的另一主要刊物《作物前景与粮食形势》密切协作,特别是在涉及谷物的方面。《粮食展望》以英文出版,概要部分还以阿拉伯文、中文、法文、俄文和西班牙刊出。
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    Brochure, flyer, fact-sheet
    High-profile
    粮食展望
    市场综述, 2025年6月
    2025
    《粮食展望》每年出版2期(6月和11月),聚焦全球食品类商品市场动态。粮农组织最新评估表明,全球食品类商品市场前景相对乐观,除食糖外,所有商品的产量和贸易量均有望增长。然而,由于供需平衡微妙,增长对各商品库存恢复的影响各异。全球食品类商品产量仍易受天气影响。此外,持续的地缘政治紧张局势、政策走向的不确定性、以及潜在的报复性贸易措施,都可能影响贸易前景。除市场综述外,每期还包含专题文章和市场指标。2025年6月刊登载了一篇关于高致病性禽流感的经济和贸易影响的专题文章。其他议题还包括:乌克兰战争爆发后贸易流通的变化、肥料市场最新动态、鱼品欺诈的经济诱因,以及国际海运业脱碳对粮食净进口发展中国家的影响。市场指标概览汇总了期货市场、海运运费、粮食进口费用和食品价格指数的最新动态。
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    Brochure, flyer, fact-sheet
    High-profile
    粮食展望
    市场综述
    2025
    粮农组织最新预测显示若干基本食品产量提高,库存量增加。但全球粮食产量仍易受天气状况、地缘政治紧张和政策引发的冲击的不利影响。这些因素可能打破供求关系的脆弱平衡,从而对全球粮食安全造成影响。《粮食展望》为半年刊,6月号刊发粮农组织对世界主要食品的市场供求趋势研判的评述,这些食品为谷物、油料作物、食糖、肉类、奶类和鱼类。《粮食展望》也考查粮食进口费用、海运费率、国际粮食价格及期货市场。粮农组织市场及贸易司在全球信息和预警系统(GIEWS)项下编写和刊行《粮食展望》,发挥提高全球粮食市场透明度的作用。在全球谷物市场方面,《粮食展望》与GIEWS的另一主要季刊《作物前景与粮食形势》保持密切协作。《粮食展望》以英文出版,概要部分还以阿拉伯文、中文、法文、俄文和西班牙文刊出。

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    Global, regional and country trends 2000–2018
    2021
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    The FAOSTAT emissions database is composed of several data domains covering the categories of the IPCC Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sector of the national GHG inventory. Energy use in agriculture is additionally included as relevant to emissions from agriculture as an economic production sector under the ISIC A statistical classification, though recognizing that, in terms of IPCC, they are instead part of the Energy sector of the national GHG inventory. FAO emissions estimates are available over the period 1961–2018 for agriculture production processes from crop and livestock activities. Land use emissions and removals are generally available only for the period 1990–2019. This analytical brief focuses on overall trends over the period 2000–2018.
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    The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2021
    Transforming food systems for food security, improved nutrition and affordable healthy diets for all
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    In recent years, several major drivers have put the world off track to ending world hunger and malnutrition in all its forms by 2030. The challenges have grown with the COVID-19 pandemic and related containment measures. This report presents the first global assessment of food insecurity and malnutrition for 2020 and offers some indication of what hunger might look like by 2030 in a scenario further complicated by the enduring effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. It also includes new estimates of the cost and affordability of healthy diets, which provide an important link between the food security and nutrition indicators and the analysis of their trends. Altogether, the report highlights the need for a deeper reflection on how to better address the global food security and nutrition situation.To understand how hunger and malnutrition have reached these critical levels, this report draws on the analyses of the past four editions, which have produced a vast, evidence-based body of knowledge of the major drivers behind the recent changes in food security and nutrition. These drivers, which are increasing in frequency and intensity, include conflicts, climate variability and extremes, and economic slowdowns and downturns – all exacerbated by the underlying causes of poverty and very high and persistent levels of inequality. In addition, millions of people around the world suffer from food insecurity and different forms of malnutrition because they cannot afford the cost of healthy diets. From a synthesized understanding of this knowledge, updates and additional analyses are generated to create a holistic view of the combined effects of these drivers, both on each other and on food systems, and how they negatively affect food security and nutrition around the world.In turn, the evidence informs an in-depth look at how to move from silo solutions to integrated food systems solutions. In this regard, the report proposes transformative pathways that specifically address the challenges posed by the major drivers, also highlighting the types of policy and investment portfolios required to transform food systems for food security, improved nutrition, and affordable healthy diets for all. The report observes that, while the pandemic has caused major setbacks, there is much to be learned from the vulnerabilities and inequalities it has laid bare. If taken to heart, these new insights and wisdom can help get the world back on track towards the goal of ending hunger, food insecurity, and malnutrition in all its forms.
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    Booklet
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    FAO Strategy on Climate Change 2022–2031 2022
    The FAO Strategy on Climate Change 2022–2031 was endorsed by FAO Council in June 2022. This new strategy replaces the previous strategy from 2017 to better FAO's climate action with the Strategic Framework 2022-2031, and other FAO strategies that have been developed since then. The Strategy was elaborated following an inclusive process of consultation with FAO Members, FAO staff from headquarters and decentralized offices, as well as external partners. It articulates FAO's vision for agrifood systems by 2050, around three main pillars of action: at global and regional level, at country level, and at local level. The Strategy also encourages key guiding principles for action, such as science and innovation, inclusiveness, partnerships, and access to finance.