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粮食展望―2005年6月第2期












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    粮食展望―2005年4月第1期 2005
    预计2005年谷物取得好收成 2005年谷物作物的早期前景显 示将比去年的创记录水平减产,但 仍预计继续高于过去五年的平均水 平。根据田间作物的情况和今年晚些 时候有待播种的作物的种植计划,如 果2005年农作季节剩下的时间里天气 正常,粮农组织对世界谷物产量的第 一次预测为19.71亿吨(包括以碾米 计的稻米),约比2004年下降4%。 预计减少的部分基本上全部来自北美 洲和欧洲的主要生产(和出口)国, 尽管到目前为止那里的田间作物总体 上令人满意,但预计谷物总面积却略 有减少,且单产低于去年的创纪录水 平。预计发展中国家的谷物产量仍基 本没有变化。初步预测亚洲的产量将 有所提高,但可能会被其它地区的发 预计2005年谷物取得好收成 2005年谷物作物的早期前景显 示将比去年的创记录水平减产,但 仍预计继续高于过去五年的平均水 平。根据田间作物的情况和今年晚&# 20123; 时候有待播种的作物的种植计划,如 果2005年农作季节剩下的时间里天气 正常,粮农组织对世界 谷物产量的&# 31532; 一次预测为19.71亿吨(包括以碾米 计的稻米),约比2004年下降4%。 预计减少的部分基本上全部来自北&# 32654; 洲和欧洲的主要生产(和出口)国&# 65292; 尽管到目前为止那里的田间作物总&# 20307; 上令人满意,但预计谷物总面积却&# 30053; 有减少,且单产低于去年的创
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    粮食展望 - 第3期, 2005年9月 2005
    自6月份上次报告以来,粮农组织对2005年世界谷物产量的预测略有下调。尽管全球谷物收成低于2004年创纪录的水平,但预计仍将高于过去五年的平均水平。预计小麦和粗粮的产量将下降,但预测稻米产量将创历史新高。 发达国家将占2005年全球谷物产量预计下降幅度的大部分,主要原因是粗粮收成减少。在发展中国家,预计谷物产量将略高于2004年的丰产水平。
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    粮食展望 - 第4期, 2005年12月 2005
    9月的报告以来,粮农组织对2005年世界谷物产量的最新预测有较大幅度的上调,至20.05亿吨,比去年创纪录的收成下降2.4%。除非洲和南美洲部分地区外,多数区域的谷物收成令人满意。

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