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粮食展望―2004年12月第4期












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    粮食展望―2004年6月第2期 2004
    Á¸Å©亊éÖ¯?#247;Ô2004ÄêÈ«Çò¹ÈÎï²úÁ¿µÄ亊îÐÂÔ¤²âΪ19.56ÒÚ?#247;Ö£¬亇ÈÉÏÄêÓнÏ丩ó·ù?#247;ȵÄÔö¼Ó¡£ È»?#247;ø£¬¾¡¹ÜÔ¤¼ÆÀûÓÃÁ¿Ôö·ù²»丩󣬵«ÐµÄ2004/05ÏúÊÛ¼¾½Ú¿ÉÄܳöÏÖÈ«Çò¹ÈÎï¿â丩æÁ¿Á¬ÐøµÚÎåÄêÏ»¬µÄ¾ÖÃæ¡£ Á¸Å©亊éÖ¯?#247;Ô2004/05Äê?#247;ÈÈ«Çò¹ÈÎïóÒ亊Á¿µÄÊ亊丩ÎÔ¤²âΪ2.297ÒÚ?#247;Ö£¬亇ÈÉÏÄêϽµ3£\¡£ ÕâÒ»Çé¿öÖ?#8364;ÒªÊÇÓÉÓÚ丩«Í³½ø¿Ú¹úÊÕ³ÉÇ?#8249;¾?#8249;¿丩ºÃ£¬ÒÔ¼?#8249;Å·ÖÞ²úÁ¿µÄ丩ó·ù»ØÉý¡£ÔÚµ¾Ã亊·½Ã棬Ԥ¼ÆÃ³Ò亊Á¿½«Êܵ½Ö?#8364;Òª³ö¿Ú¹ú¹©Ó¦Á¿Ç?#8364;½ôµÄÖÆÔ¼¡£ ...
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    粮食展望―2004年9月第3期 2004
    自上次报告以来粮农组织对2004年世界谷物产量的最新预测已提高了2,900万吨,达19.85亿吨, 与2004/05年度预计利用量处于同等水平。在过去四年锐减之后这将防止全球谷物库存量再次出现大幅下降。 2004/05年度世界谷物的利用量预测为19.85亿吨, 比2003/04年度的估算利用量高出1.4%。饲料和工业用粗粮将很可能增长最快。 粮农组织已将对2005年季末世界谷物库存量的预测大幅提高, 上调至仅略低于其季初的水平,这是在过去四年每年都发生严重锐减之后。 沙漠蝗虫正在对今年撒赫勒地区的农业生产构成威胁。 整个撒赫勒地区都报告有分布广泛的蝗群的繁殖和形成。一些国家已报告给作物带来了重大损害。正在开展防治行动但需要予以加强以防止形势恶化。 2004/05年度全球谷物贸易量将剧减至2.276亿吨, 主要是由于几个传统进口国取得丰收,造成对于小麦和粗粮的进口需求减少。 近几个月来国际谷物价格疲软, 主要是由于供应前景看好和需求普遍趋弱。 国际市场上食糖价格居高不下, 原因是相对于产量来说,世界食糖消费量持续强劲 增长而世界范围内库存量预期下降。
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