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粮食展望

市场综述












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    Brochure, flyer, fact-sheet
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    粮食展望
    市场综述, 2025年6月
    2025
    《粮食展望》每年出版2期(6月和11月),聚焦全球食品类商品市场动态。粮农组织最新评估表明,全球食品类商品市场前景相对乐观,除食糖外,所有商品的产量和贸易量均有望增长。然而,由于供需平衡微妙,增长对各商品库存恢复的影响各异。全球食品类商品产量仍易受天气影响。此外,持续的地缘政治紧张局势、政策走向的不确定性、以及潜在的报复性贸易措施,都可能影响贸易前景。除市场综述外,每期还包含专题文章和市场指标。2025年6月刊登载了一篇关于高致病性禽流感的经济和贸易影响的专题文章。其他议题还包括:乌克兰战争爆发后贸易流通的变化、肥料市场最新动态、鱼品欺诈的经济诱因,以及国际海运业脱碳对粮食净进口发展中国家的影响。市场指标概览汇总了期货市场、海运运费、粮食进口费用和食品价格指数的最新动态。
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    Brochure, flyer, fact-sheet
    Brochure
    粮食展望
    市场综述
    2022
    鉴于投入品价格大涨、天气隐忧以及乌克兰战争带来的不确定性,粮农组织的最新预测显示2022年粮食市场很可能出现趋紧的局面。同时,全球粮食进口费用势必创下1.8万亿美元的新纪录,达历史最高水平,原因几乎全部归咎于价格上涨。 《粮食展望》一年两刊,介绍粮农组织对世界主要食品的市场供求趋势的评述,包括谷物、油料作物、食糖、肉类、奶类和鱼类。《粮食展望》也考查食品类商品的期货市场和船运费用的趋势。新一期《粮食展望》还包含有两个专题章节,探讨燃料和化肥等农业投入品价格上涨的影响以及乌克兰战争对全球食品类商品市场构成的风险。 《粮食展望》由粮农组织市场及贸易司在全球信息和预警系统(GIEWS)项下出版。《粮食展望》与GIEWS的另一主要刊物《作物前景与粮食形势》密切协作,特别是在涉及谷物的方面。《粮食展望》以英文出版,概要部分还以阿拉伯文、中文、法文、俄文和西班牙刊出。
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    Brochure, flyer, fact-sheet
    Brochure
    粮食展望
    市场综述 - 2023年11月
    2024
    粮农组织最新预测显示多数基本食品生产前景看好。但全球粮食生产系统仍易受到来自极端天气事件的冲击以及地缘政治紧张和政策的影响,从而可能打破脆弱的供求平衡,造成粮食商品国际贸易前景看淡并对全球粮食安全带来影响。 《粮食展望》为半年刊,11月号刊发粮农组织对世界主要食品的市场供求趋势研判的市场综述,这些食品为谷物、油料作物、食糖、肉类、奶类和鱼类。《粮食展望》也考查粮食进口费用、海运费率、国际粮食价格及期货市场。粮农组织市场及贸易司在全球信息和预警系统(GIEWS)项下编写和刊行《粮食展望》,发挥提高全球粮食市场透明度的作用。在全球谷物市场方面,《粮食展望》与GIEWS的另一主要季刊《作物前景与粮食形势》保持密切协作。《粮食展望》以英文出版,概要部分还以阿拉伯文、中文、法文、俄文和西班牙文刊出。

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    The FAOSTAT emissions database is composed of several data domains covering the categories of the IPCC Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU) sector of the national GHG inventory. Energy use in agriculture is additionally included as relevant to emissions from agriculture as an economic production sector under the ISIC A statistical classification, though recognizing that, in terms of IPCC, they are instead part of the Energy sector of the national GHG inventory. FAO emissions estimates are available over the period 1961–2018 for agriculture production processes from crop and livestock activities. Land use emissions and removals are generally available only for the period 1990–2019. This analytical brief focuses on overall trends over the period 2000–2018.