الفصل 2

مراجـع متوفرة باللغـة العر بيـة:
(مترتـبة حسـب ورودهـا فـي النـص)

1 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2024. قاعدة البيانات الإحصائية الموضوعية في منظمة الأغذية والزراعة: مجموعة مؤشرات الأمن الغذائي. [تمّ الاطلاع على الموقع في 7 مايو/أيار 2025]. https://www.fao.org/faostat/ar/#data/FS. الترخيص: CC-BY-4.0.

3 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة والصندوق الدولي للتنمية الزراعية واليونيسف وبرنامج الأغذية العالمي ومنظمة الصحة العالمية. 2018. حالة‬ الأمن الغذائي والتغذية في العالم 2018. بناء القدرة على الصمود في وجه تغيّر المناخ من أجل الأمن الغذائي والتغذية. روما، منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/i9553ar‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬‬.

7 صندوق النقد الدولي. 2025. آفاق الاقتصاد العالمي، أبريل 2025: منعطفٌ حاسمٌ وسط تحولات في السياسات. https://www.imf.org/ar/Publications/WEO/Issues/2025/04/22/world-economic-outlook-april-2025.

18 الأمم المتحدة. 2025. تنفيذ عقد الأمم المتحدة للعمل من أجل التغذية (2016-2025). الوثيقة A/79/L.66. نيويورك، الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية. https://docs.un.org/ar/A/79/L.66

21 منظمة الصحة العالمية. 2025. تمديد العمل بخطة التنفيذ الشاملة الخاصة بتغذية الأمهات والرضّع وصغار الأطفال. مشروع مقرّر إجرائي مَقترح من ألبانيا، بنغلاديش، البرازيل، إثيوبيا، جورجيا، غانا، هنغاريا، أيرلندا، جامايكا، اليابان، ليسوتو، ولايات ميكرونيزيا الموحدة، ناميبيا، باكستان، باراغواي، بيرو، رومانيا، ساموا، جنوب أفريقيا، جمهورية تنزانيا المتحدة، أوكرانيا، المملكة المتحدة لبريطانيا العظمى وآيرلندا الشمالية، فانواتو. المجلس التنفيذي الدورة السادسة والخمسون بعد المائة. الوثيقة EB156/CONF./20. https://apps.who.int/gb/ebwha/pdf_files/EB156/B156_CONF20-ar.pdf

23 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة ومنظمة الأمم المتحدة للطفولة (اليونيسف). 2021. مؤشرات تقييم ممارسات تغذية الرضّع وصغار الأطفال: التعاريف وطرق القياس. جينيف، سويسرا. https://iris.who.int/bitstream/handle/10665/377997/9789240037595-ara.pdf?sequence=1

المراجـع الأجنبية

(مترتـبة حسـب ورودهـا فـي النـص)

2 UN DESA (United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs). 2024. World Population Prospects 2024. In: United Nations. [Cited 7 May 2025]. https://population.un.org/wpp

4 FSIN (Food Security Information Network) & GNAFC (Global Network Against Food Crises). 2025. Global Report on Food Crises 2025. Rome. https://www.fsinplatform.org/sites/default/files/resources/files/GRFC2025-full.pdf

5 IPC (Integrated Food Security Phase Classification). 2025. IPC. [Cited 9 June 2025]. https://www.ipcinfo.org

6 IPC Global Partners. 2021. Integrated Food Security Phase Classification Technical Manual Version 3.1. Evidence and Standards for Better Food Security and Nutrition Decisions. Rome. https://www.ipcinfo.org/fileadmin/user_upload/ipcinfo/manual/IPC_Technical_Manual_3_Final.pdf

8 European Commission: EUROSTAT. 2021. Applying the degree of urbanisation: a methodological manual to define cities, towns and rural areas for international comparisons – 2021 edition. Luxembourg, Publications Office of the European Union. https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2785/706535

9 FAO & WHO (World Health Organization). 2019. Sustainable healthy diets – Guiding principles. Rome. https://doi.org/10.4060/CA6640EN

10 FAO & WHO. 2024. What are healthy diets? Joint statement by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations and the World Health Organization. Geneva, Switzerland, WHO. https://iris.who.int/handle/10665/379324

11 Verger, E.O., Savy, M., Martin-Prével, Y., Coates, J., Frongillo, E., Neufeld, L., Saha, K. et al. 2023. Healthy diet metrics: A suitability assessment of indicators for global and national monitoring purposes. Geneva, Switzerland, WHO. https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240072138

12 World Bank. 2024. Investment Framework for Nutrition 2024. Washington, DC. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/185f9382-722f-449c-8f92-aa976bba26cc/content

13 Horton, S. & Hoddinott, J. 2018. Benefits and Costs of the Food and Nutrition Targets for the Post-2015 Development Agenda. In: B. Lomborg, ed. Prioritizing Development: A Cost Benefit Analysis of the United Nations’ Sustainable Development Goals, pp. 367–374. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108233767.022

14 Victora, C.G., Adair, L., Fall, C., Hallal, P.C., Martorell, R., Richter, L. & Sachdev, H.S. 2008. Maternal and child undernutrition: consequences for adult health and human capital. The Lancet, 371(9609): 340–357. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(07)61692-4

15 Black, R.E., Alderman, H., Bhutta, Z.A., Gillespie, S., Haddad, L., Horton, S., Lartey, A. et al. 2013. Maternal and child nutrition: building momentum for impact. The Lancet, 382(9890): 372–375. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(13)60988-5

16 Horton, R. 2008. Maternal and child undernutrition: an urgent opportunity. The Lancet, 371(9608): 179. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(07)61869-8

17 Thomas, B. 2022. From Evidence to Action: Uniting Around Nutrition in the 1000-Day Window. American Journal of Public Health, 112(S8): S754–S756. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2022.307063

19 WHO & UNICEF (United Nations Children's Fund). 2019. WHO/UNICEF discussion paper: The extension of the 2025 maternal, infant and young child nutrition targets to 2030. New York, USA, UNICEF. https://data.unicef.org/resources/who-unicef-discussion-paper-nutrition-targets

20 WHO. 2013. Global action plan for the prevention and control of noncommunicable diseases 2013-2020. Geneva, Switzerland. https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789241506236

22 United Nations. 2025. IAEG-SDGs – 2025 Comprehensive Review Process. In: Sustainable Development Goals. [Cited 8 May 2025]. https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/iaeg-sdgs/2025-comprehensive-review

24 FAO. 2021. Minimum dietary diversity for women. Rome. https://doi.org/10.4060/cb3434en

25 UNICEF. 2024. UNICEF data: Diets. [Accessed on 8 May 2025]. https://data.unicef.org/topic/nutrition/diets. Licence: CC BY-NC 3.0 IGO.

26 Kozuki, N., Lee, A.C., Katz, J. & Child Health Epidemiology Reference Group. 2012. Moderate to severe, but not mild, maternal anemia is associated with increased risk of small-for-gestational-age outcomes. The Journal of Nutrition, 142(2): 358–362. https://doi.org/10.3945/jn.111.149237

27 Jung, J., Rahman, M.M., Rahman, M.S., Swe, K.T., Islam, M.R., Rahman, M.O. & Akter, S. 2019. Effects of hemoglobin levels during pregnancy on adverse maternal and infant outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Annals of the New York Academy of Science, 1450(1): 69–82. https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14112

28 Chaparro, C.M. & Suchdev, P.S. 2019. Anemia epidemiology, pathophysiology, and etiology in low- and middle-income countries. Annals of the New York Academy of Science, 1450(1): 15–31 https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14092

29 Alshwaiyat, N.M., Ahmad, A., Wan Hassan, W.M.R. & Al-Jamal, H.A.N. 2021. Association between obesity and iron deficiency (Review). Experimental and Therapeutic Medicine, 22(5): 1268. https://doi.org/10.3892/etm.2021.10703

30 Weiss, G. & Goodnough, L.T. 2005. Anemia of chronic disease. The New England Journal of Medicine, 352,(10): 1011–1023. https://doi.org/10.1056/nejmra041809

31 Ko, Y-A., Williams, A.M., Peerson, J.M., Luo, H., Flores-Ayala, R., Wirth, J.P., Engle-Stone, R., Young, M.F. & Suchdev, P.S. 2022. Approaches to quantify the contribution of multiple anemia risk factors in children and women from cross-sectional national surveys. PLOS Glob Public Health, 2(10): e0001071. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgph.0001071

32 Neufeld, L.M., Larson, L.M., Kurpad, A., Mburu, S., Martorell, R. & Brown, K.H. 2019. Hemoglobin concentration and anemia diagnosis in venous and capillary blood: biological basis and policy implications. Annals of the New York Academy of Science, 1450(1): 172–189. https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14139

33 Karakochuk, C.D., Hess, S.Y., Moorthy, D., Namaste, S., Parker, M.E., Rappaport, A.I., Wegmüller, R., Dary, O. & HEmoglobin MEasurement (HEME) Working Group. 2019. Measurement and interpretation of hemoglobin concentration in clinical and field settings: a narrative review. Annals of the New York Academy of Science, 1450(1): 126–146. https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.14003

34 WHO. 2024. Guideline on haemoglobin cutoffs to define anaemia in individuals and populations. Washington, DC. https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240088542

الفصل 3

مراجـع متوفرة باللغـة العر بيـة:

2 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2024. قاعدة البيانات الإحصائية الموضوعية في منظمة الأغذية والزراعة: مؤشرات أسعار الاستهلاك. [تمّ الاطلاع على الموقع في 19 مارس/آذار 2025]. https://www.fao.org/faostat/ar/#data/CP. الترخيص: CC-BY-4.0.

3 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2024. قاعدة البيانات الإحصائية الموضوعية في منظمة الأغذية والزراعة: مؤشرات أسعار الاستهلاك. [تمّ الاطلاع على الموقع في 19 مارس/آذار 2025]. https://www.fao.org/faostat/ar/#data/CP. الترخيص: CC-BY-4.0

15 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2008. حالة انعدام الأمن الغذائي في العالم 2008. ارتفاع أسعار الأغذية والأمن الغذائي – الأخطار والفرص. روما. https://www.fao.org/4/i0291a/i0291a00.pdf

17 البنك الدولي. 2008. تقرير التنمية الدولية لعام 2008 – الزراعة من أجل التنمية. واشنطن، العاصمة. https://hdl.handle.net/10986/5990

21 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة والصندوق الدولي للتنمية الزراعية ومنظمة الأمم المتحدة للطفولة (اليونيسف) وبرنامج الأغذية العالمي ومنظمة الصحة العالمية. 2023. حالة الأمن الغذائي والتغذية في العالم 2023. التوسع الحضري وتحويل النُظم الزراعية والأنماط الغذائية الصحية عبر التسلسل الريفي الحضري المتصل. روما، منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. https://doi.org/10.4060/cc3017ar

29 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2025. أداة رصد وتحليل أسعار الأسعار. في: منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. [ورد ذكره في 5 مايو/أيار 2025]. https://fpma.fao.org/giews/fpmat4/global/#/dashboard/home

30 الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء الفلسطيني. 2025. الرقم القياسي لأسعار المستهلك. [ورد ذكره في 5 مايو/أيار 2025]. https://www.pcbs.gov.ps/site/lang__ar/695/default.aspx?lang=ar

53 صندوق النقد الدولي. 2024. آفاق الاقتصاد العالمي، أكتوبر/تشرين الأول 2024: تحول السياسات، وتزايد التهديدات. في: صندوق النقد الدولي. [ورد ذكره في 20 فبراير/شباط 2025]. https://www.imf.org/ar/Publications/WEO/Issues/2024/10/22/world-economic-outlook-october-2024

56 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2025. حالة الأغذية في العالم – مؤشر المنظمة لأسعار الأغذية. في: منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. [ورد ذكره في 17 مارس/آذار 2025]. https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/foodpricesindex/ar

82 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2023. أثر الكوارث على الزراعة والأمن الغذائي 2023: تجنب الخسائر وتقليلها من خلال الاستثمار في القدرة على الصمود. روما، منظمة الأغذية والزراعة في الأمم المتحدة. https://doi.org/10.4060/cc7900ar

127 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2008. حالة إنعدام الأمن الغذائي في العالم 2008. ارتفاع أسعار الأغذية والأمن الغذائي – الأخطار والفرص. روما. https://www.fao.org/4/i0291a/i0291a00.pdf

129 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة والصندوق الدولي للتنمية الزراعية ومنظمة الأمم المتحدة للطفولة (اليونيسف) وبرنامج الأغذية العالمي ومنظمة الصحة العالمية. 2024. حالة الأمن الغذائي والتغذية في العالم 2024 – التمويل من أجل القضاء على الجوع وانعدام الأمن الغذائي وسوء التغذية بجميع أشكاله – المواد التكميلية. روما. https://doi.org/10.4060/cd1254ar-supplementary

136 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة والصندوق الدولي للتنمية الزراعية ومنظمة الأمم المتحدة للطفولة (اليونيسف) وبرنامج الأغذية العالمي ومنظمة الصحة العالمية. 2019. حالة الأمن الغذائي والتغذية في العالم 2019 - الاحتراز من حالات التباطؤ والانكماش الاقتصادي. روما.https://doi.org/10.4060/CA5162AR

138 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة والصندوق الدولي للتنمية الزراعية ومنظمة الأمم المتحدة للطفولة (اليونيسف) وبرنامج الأغذية العالمي ومنظمة الصحة العالمية. 2018. حالة الأمن الغذائي والتغذية في العالم 2018 بناء القدرة على الصمود في وجه تغيّر المناخ من أجل الأمن الغذائي والتغذية. روما. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/i9553ar

139 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة والصندوق الدولي للتنمية الزراعية ومنظمة الأمم المتحدة للطفولة (اليونيسف) وبرنامج الأغذية العالمي ومنظمة الصحة العالمية. 2021. حالة الأمن الغذائي والتغذية في العالم 2021 - تحويل النظم الغذائية من أجل الأمن الغذائي وتحسين التغذية وتوفير أنماط غذائية صحية ميسورة الكلفة للجميع. روما. https://doi.org/10.4060/cb4474ar

142 مجموعة البنك الدولي. 2025. مجموعة البنك الدولي: مؤشرات التنمية العالمية.. [تمّ الاطلاع على الموقع في 12 مايو/أيار 2025]. https://databank.albankaldawli.org/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators. الترخيص: CC-BY-4.0.

147 برنامج الأغذية والزراعة. 2021. المراجعة السنوية 2021: التعامل مع التقلبات، معالجة التعقيدات، بناء الشراكات. روما، برنامج الأغذية والزراعة. https://docs.wfp.org/api/documents/WFP-0000141422/download/?_ga=2.180475234.459914931.1754578862-532044896.1754578862

156 منظمة الصحة العالمية. 2024. حقائق أساسية – سوء التغذية. في: منظمة الصحة العالمية. [ورد ذكره في 25 أبريل/نيسان 2025]. https://www.who.int/ar/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/malnutrition

170 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2023. المؤشرات العالمية بشأن كلفة الأنماط الغذائية الصحية وعدد الأشخاص الذين يعجزون عن تحمّلها. في: منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. [ورد ذكره في 19 مارس/آذار 2025]. https://www.fao.org/newsroom/detail/global-indicators-on-the-costs-of-healthy-diets-and-how-many-people-can-t-afford-them/ar

المراجـع الأجنبية

(مترتـبة حسـب ورودهـا فـي النـص)

1 Ipsos. 2024. What Worries the World - July 2024. In: Ipsos. https://www.ipsos.com/en-nl/what-worries-world-july-2024

4 Barrett, C.B. 2020. Actions now can curb food systems fallout from COVID-19. Nature Food, 1(6): 319–320. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-020-0085-y

5 CFS (Committee on World Food Security). 2020. COVID-19 is Threatening Food Security and Workers’ Health. Discussion Paper for 21 July 2020 CFS Meeting. Rome. https://www.fao.org/fileadmin/templates/cfs/Docs1920/COVID-19/CFS_COVID-19_Discussion_Paper_FINAL2.pdf

6 Charlton, D. 2022. Seasonal farm labor and COVID-19 spread. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 44(3): 1591–1609. https://doi.org/10.1002/aepp.13190

7 Cavallo, A. 2020. Inflation with Covid Consumption Baskets. Working Paper Series 27352. Cambridge, USA, NBER (National Bureau of Economic Research). https://doi.org/10.3386/w27352

8 Bairagi, S., Mishra, A.K. & Mottaleb, K.A. 2022. Impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on food prices: Evidence from storable and perishable commodities in India. PLOS One, 17(3): e0264355. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0264355

9 Aruga, K., Islam, M. & Jannat, A. 2020. Effects of COVID-19 on Indian energy consumption. Sustainability, 12(14): 5616. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12145616

10 Kuik, F., Adolfsen, J.F., Lis, E.M. & Meyler, A. 2022. Energy price developments in and out of the COVID-19 pandemic – from commodity prices to consumer prices. In: Economic Bulletin, Issue 4, pp. 94–115. Frankfurt, European Central Bank. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/economic-bulletin/html/eb202204.en.html

11 Oner, C. 2010. Inflation: Prices on the Rise. F&D: Finance and Development Magazine, 47(1): 44–45. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/Series/Back-to-Basics/Inflation

12 Cagan, P. 1953. The Monetary Dynamics of Hyperinflation. In: M. Friedman, ed. Studies in the Quantity Theory of Money, pp. 25–117. Chicago, USA, University of Chicago Press.

13 World Economic Forum. 2022. What is hyperinflation and should we be worried? In: World Economic Forum. [Cited 6 May 2025]. https://www.weforum.org/stories/2022/06/hyperinflation-inflation-interest-rate

14 United Nations. 2025. National Accounts - Analysis of Main Aggregates (AMA). [Accessed on 19 March 2025]. https://unstats.un.org/unsd/snaama. Licence: CC-3.0-IGO.

16 Filipski, M. & Covarrubias, K. 2012. Distributional Impacts of Commodity Prices in Developing Countries. In: J. Brooks, ed. Agricultural Policies for Poverty Reduction. pp. 61–88. Paris, OECD Publishing. https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/agricultural-policies-for-poverty-reduction_9789264112902-en.html

18 Smith, V.H. & Glauber, J.W. 2020. Trade, policy, and food security. Agricultural Economics, 51(1): 159–171. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12547

19 Dzanku, F.M., Liverpool-Tasie, L.S.O. & Reardon, T. 2024. The importance and determinants of purchases in rural food consumption in Africa: Implications for food security strategies. Global Food Security, 40: 100739. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100739

20 Rapsomanikis, G. 2015. The economic lives of smallholder farmers: an analysis based on household data from nine countries. Rome, FAO. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/i5251e

22 Anríquez, G., Daidone, S. & Mane, E. 2013. Rising food prices and undernourishment: A cross-country inquiry. Food Policy, 38: 190–202. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2012.02.010

23 Ivanic, M. & Martin, W. 2008. Implications of higher global food prices for poverty in low-income countries. Agricultural Economics, 39(s1): 405–416. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1574-0862.2008.00347.x

24 Robles, M. & Torero, M. 2010. Understanding the Impact of High Food Prices in Latin America. Economía, 10(2): 117–164. https://economia.lse.ac.uk/articles/180/files/63fef033e4bd5.pdf

25 Compton, J., Wiggins, S. & Keats, S. 2010. Impact of the Global Food Crisis on the Poor: What is the Evidence? Overseas Development Institute (ODI). https://cdn.odi.org/media/documents/6103.pdf

26 Ivanic, M. & Martin, W. 2014. Short- and Long-Run Impacts of Food Price Changes on Poverty. Policy Research Working Paper No. 7011. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-7011

27 Laborde, D., Lakatos, C. & Martin, W. 2019. Poverty Impact of Food Price Shocks and Policies. Policy Research Working Paper No. 8724. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/863311549375011898/pdf/WPS8724.pdf

28 World Bank. 2011. Responding to Global Food Price Volatility and its Impact on Food Security. Washington, DC.

31 Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe. 2025. Inflation. In: Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe. [Cited 5 May 2025]. https://www.rbz.co.zw/index.php/research/markets/inflation

32 Trading Economics. 2025. Trading Economics: Food Inflation. [Accessed on 5 May 2025]. https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/food-inflation. Licence: CC-BY-4.0.

33 WFP. 2025. VAM: DataViz. [Accessed on 5 May 2025]. https://dataviz.vam.wfp.org. Licence: CC-BY-IGO.

34 Ascari, G., Bonam, D. & Smadu, A. 2024. Global supply chain pressures, inflation, and implications for monetary policy. Journal of International Money and Finance, 142: 103029. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2024.103029

35 Barro, R. & Bianchi, F. 2023. Fiscal influences on inflation in OECD countries, 2020-2023. NBER Working Paper Series No. 31838. Cambridge, USA, NBER. https://doi.org/10.3386/w31838

36 Bergholt, D., Canova, F., Furlanetto, F., Maffei-Faccioli, N. & Ulvedal, P. 2024. What drives the recent surge in inflation? The historical decomposition roller coaster. Working Paper No. 7. Oslo, Norges Bank. https://www.norges-bank.no/contentassets/b32c79a497624e3ea35bf9f52cdbef56/wp-2024-07.pdf?v=10042024101314

37 Blanchard, O. & Bernanke, B. 2023. What caused the US pandemic-era inflation? NBER Working Paper Series No. 31417. Cambridge, USA, NBER. https://doi.org/10.3386/w31417

38 Blanchard, O. & Bernanke, B. 2024. An analysis of pandemic-era inflation in 11 economies. NBER Working Paper Series No. 32532. Cambridge, USA, NBER. https://doi.org/10.3386/w32532

39 Giannone, D. & Primiceri, G.E. 2024. The drivers of post-pandemic inflation. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/sintra/ecb.forumcentbankpub2024_Primiceri_paper.en.pdf

40 Mori, L. 2025. Fiscal shocks and the surge of inflation. Marco Fanno Working Papers No. 318. Padua, Italy, University of Padua. https://www.economia.unipd.it/sites/economia.unipd.it/files/20250318.pdf

41 United Nations. 2023. WHO chief declares end to COVID-19 as a global health emergency – UN News. In: United Nations. [Cited 28 February 2025]. https://news.un.org/en/story/2023/05/1136367

42 Agarwal, R., Farrar, J., Gopinath, G., Hatchett, R. & Sands, P. 2022. A Global Strategy to Manage the Long-Term Risks of COVID-19. IMF Working Papers No. 68. Washington, DC, IMF. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2022/04/04/A-Global-Strategy-to-Manage-the-Long-Term-Risks-of-COVID-19-516079

43 Mahler, D.G., Yonzan, N., Hill, R., Wu, H. & Yoshida, N. 2022. Pandemic, prices, and poverty. In: World Bank Blogs. [Cited 3 March 2025]. https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/opendata/pandemic-prices-and-poverty

44 IMF. 2021. Database of Fiscal Policy Responses to COVID-19: Fiscal Monitor Database of Country Fiscal Measures in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic. [Accessed on 1 March 2025]. https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/imf-and-covid19/Fiscal-Policies-Database-in-Response-to-COVID-19

45 Deb, P., Furceri, D., Ostry, J.D., Tawk, N. & Yang, N. 2021. The effects of fiscal measures during COVID-19. Working papers 2021/262. Washington, DC, IMF. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781557754264.001

46 de Soyres, F., Santacreu, A.M. & Young, H. 2022. Fiscal policy and excess inflation during Covid-19: a cross-country view. FEDS Notes. Washington, DC, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. https://www.federalreserve.gov/econres/notes/feds-notes/fiscal-policy-and-excess-inflation-during-covid-19-a-cross-country-view-20220715.html

47 UN DESA. 2022. The monetary policy response to COVID-19: direct impacts and spillovers. In: World Economic Situation and Prospects 2022, pp. 47–82. New York, USA, United Nations. https://doi.org/10.18356/9789210011839c006

48 Runkel, C. 2022. Eurozone: Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program. Journal of Financial Crises, 4(2): 1569–1600. https://elischolar.library.yale.edu/journal-of-financial-crises/vol4/iss2/73

49 Wolf, M. 2024. Lessons from the great inflation. Financial Times, 3 September 2024. [Cited 20 March 2025]. https://www.ft.com/content/2ee6364e-3d48-447c-9b37-659d0f36d656

50 Forbes, K., Ha, J. & Kose, M.A. 2024. Rate Cycles. Sintra, Portugal. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/sintra/ecb.forumcentbankpub2024_Forbes_paper.en.pdf

51 Tepper, T. & Powell, F. 2024. Federal Funds Rate History 1990 to 2025. In: Forbes Advisor. [Cited 20 March 2025]. https://www.forbes.com/advisor/investing/fed-funds-rate-history

52 Baffes, J., Guenette, J.D., Ha, J., Inami, O., Kabundi, A.N., Kasyanenko, S., Kilic Celik, S. et al. 2021. Global economic prospects, June 2021. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1665-9

54 IMF. 2023. External Sector Report: External Rebalancing in Turbulent Times. Washington, DC. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/ESR/Issues/2023/07/19/2023-external-sector-report

55 UNCTAD (United Nations Conference on Trade and Development). 2022. A Double Burden: The Effects of Food Price Increases and Currency Depreciations on Food Import Bills. Geneva, Switzerland. https://unctad.org/publication/double-burden-effects-food-price-increases-and-currency-depreciations-food-import-bills

57 FAO. 2023. Food Outlook - June 2023. Rome. https://doi.org/10.4060/cc3020en

58 Algieri, B., Kornher, L. & von Braun, J. 2024. The Changing Drivers of Food Inflation – Macroeconomics, Inflation, and War. ZEF-Discussion Papers on Development Policy. No. 339. Bonn, Germany, ZEF. https://www.ssrn.com/abstract=4748639

59 Glauber, J. & Laborde, D. 2022. How will Russia’s invasion of Ukraine affect global food security? In: IFPRI. [Cited 6 June 2025]. https://www.ifpri.org/blog/how-will-russias-invasion-ukraine-affect-global-food-security

60 UNCTAD. 2022. Maritime Trade Disrupted: The war in Ukraine and its effects on maritime trade logistics. Geneva, Switzerland. https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/osginf2022d2_en.pdf

61 Kamali, P., Koepke, R., Sozzi, A. & Verschuur, J. 2024. Chart of the Week – Red Sea Attacks Disrupt Global Trade. In: IMF Blog. [Cited 20 March 2025]. https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/03/07/Red-Sea-Attacks-Disrupt-Global-Trade

62 Glauber, J. & Mamun, A. 2024. Impacts of Red Sea shipping disruptions on global food security. In: IFPRI Blog. [Cited 20 March 2025]. https://www.ifpri.org/blog/impacts-red-sea-shipping-disruptions-global-food-security

63 UNCTAD. 2022. Black Sea Grain Initiative Offers Hope, Shows Power of Trade. In: UNCTAD. [Cited 4 March 2025]. https://unctad.org/news/black-sea-grain-initiative-offers-hope-shows-power-trade

64 FAO. 2023. FAO Brief on the interruption of the Black Sea Grain Initiative and its potential implications on global food markets and food security. Rome. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/cc7271en

65 Dodd, E., Welsh, C. & Glauber, J. 2024. Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). In: Setting the Record Straight on Ukraine’s Grain Exports. [Cited 4 March 2025]. https://www.csis.org/analysis/setting-record-straight-ukraines-grain-exports

66 Glauber, J. & Laborde, D. 2023. How sanctions on Russia and Belarus are impacting exports of agricultural products and fertilizer. In: J. Glauber & D. Laborde, eds. The Russia-Ukraine Conflict and Global Food Security. Washington, DC, IFPRI (International Food Policy Research Institute). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140146

67 POLITICO. 2022. ‘Enormous’ fertilizer shortage spells disaster for global food crisis. In: POLITICO. [Cited 5 March 2025]. https://www.politico.eu/article/fertilizer-soil-ukraine-war-the-next-global-food-crisis

68 Elleby, C., Dominguez, I.P., Genovese, G., Thompson, W., Adenauer, M. & Gay, H. 2023. A Perfect or Persistent Storm for Global Agricultural Markets: High Energy Prices and the Russia-Ukraine War. Choices, 38(2): 4–9. https://www.choicesmagazine.org/UserFiles/file/cmsarticle_860.pdf

69 Hebebrand, C. & Laborde, D. 2023. High fertilizer prices contribute to rising global food security concerns. In: The Russia-Ukraine Conflict and Global Food Security, pp. 38–42. Washington, DC, IFPRI. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/140084

70 Baqaee, D., Moll, B., Landais, C. & Martin, P. 2022. The Economic Consequences of a Stop of Energy Imports from Russia. Focus. 084–2022. Paris, Conseil d’Analyse Économique. https://cae-eco.fr/en/the-economic-consequences-of-a-stop-of-energy-imports-from-russia

71 Di Bella, G., Flanagan, M.J., Foda, K., Maslova, S., Pienkowski, A., Stuermer, M. & Toscani, F.G. 2022. Natural Gas in Europe: The Potential Impact of Disruptions to Supply. IMF Working Paper. 2022/145. Washington, DC, IMF. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2022/07/18/Natural-Gas-in-Europe-The-Potential-Impact-of-Disruptions-to-Supply-520934

72 Zhang, Q., Hu, Y., Jiao, J. & Wang, S. 2024. The impact of Russia–Ukraine war on crude oil prices: an EMC framework. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 11(8): 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-023-02526-9

73 Rojas-Romagosa, H. 2024. Medium-term Macroeconomic Effects of Russia’s War in Ukraine and How it Affects Energy Security and Global Emission Targets. IMF Working Papers. No. 39. Washington, DC, IMF. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2024/03/01/Medium-term-Macroeconomic-Effects-of-Russias-War-in-Ukraine-and-How-it-Affects-Energy-544043

74 Gbadegesin, T., Andrée, B.P.J. & Braimoh, A. 2024. Climate Shocks and Their Effects on Food Security, Prices, and Agricultural Wages in Afghanistan. Policy Research Working Paper 10999. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/2841ba82-7c10-47b6-bbdd-17eb74a9df3f/content

75 McKinsey. 2024. Panama Canal restrictions’ impact on supply chains. In: McKinsey & Company. [Cited 4 June 2025]. https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/logistics/our-insights/how-could-panama-canal-restrictions-affect-supply-chains

76 Miguel, E., Satyanath, S. & Sergenti, E. 2004. Economic Shocks and Civil Conflict: An Instrumental Variables Approach. Journal of Political Economy, 112(4): 725–753. https://doi.org/10.1086/421174

77 Cevik, S. & Tovar Jalles, J. 2023. Eye of the Storm: The Impact of Climate Shocks on Inflation and Growth. IMF Working Papers, 087. Washington, DC, IMF. https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2023/087/article-A001-en.xml

78 World Bank. 2020. The Desert Locust Crisis and the World Bank Group. In: World Bank. [Cited 4 June 2025]. https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/the-world-bank-group-and-the-desert-locust-outbreak

79 FAO. 2023. The Argentine Republic: Drought Conditions Curbs Cereal Production, Adding Upward Pressure on Prices. GIEWS Update. Rome. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/cc6179en

80 USDA (United States Department of Agriculture). 2020. African Swine Fever Shrinks Pork Production in China, Swells Demand for Imported Pork. In: Amber Waves. [Cited 4 June 2025]. https://www.ers.usda.gov/amber-waves/2020/february/african-swine-fever-shrinks-pork-production-in-china-swells-demand-for-imported-pork

81 You, S., Liu, T., Zhang, M., Zhao, X., Dong, Y., Wu, B., Wang, Y. et al. 2021. African swine fever outbreaks in China led to gross domestic product and economic losses. Nature Food, 2(10): 802–808. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-021-00362-1

83 Frezal, C., Gay, S.H. & Nenert, C. 2021. The Impact of the African Swine Fever Outbreak in China on Global Agricultural Markets. OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers 156. Paris, OECD. https://doi.org/10.1787/96d0410d-en

84 CBS News. 2025. As bird flu ravages poultry industry, the damage spreads. [Cited 4 June 2025]. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/as-bird-flu-ravages-poultry-industry-the-damage-spreads/

85 USDA. 2025. Food Price Outlook - Summary Findings. In: Economic Research Service. [Cited 4 June 2025]. https://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-price-outlook/summary-findings

86 Rabobank. 2023. Eggflation: What Happens After Egg Prices Reach Historic Highs. In: Rabobank. [Cited 4 June 2025]. https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/q011418122-eggflation-what-happens-after-egg-prices-reach-historic-highs

87 Ascari, G., Bonam, D., Mori, L. & Smadu, A. 2025. Fiscal policy as a driver of inflation in the euro area. SUERF Policy Brief No. 1082. Vienna, SUERF (The European Money and Finance Forum). https://www.suerf.org/publications/suerf-policy-notes-and-briefs/fiscal-policy-as-a-driver-of-inflation-in-the-euro-area

88 Adjemian, M.K., Li, Q. & Jo, J. 2024. Decomposing Food Price Inflation into Supply and Demand Shocks. Athens, USA, University of Georgia. https://agecon.uga.edu/content/dam/caes-subsite/ag-econ/documents/cvs/cvs-fall-2024/Decomposing%20Food%20Price%20Inflation-September2024.pdf

89 Peersman, G. (forthcoming). Understanding the post-COVID-19 pandemic surge in food price inflation – Background paper for The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2025. FAO Agricultural Development Economics Working Paper 25-06. Rome, FAO.

90 IATE (Interactive Terminology for Europe). 2025. European Union terminology. [Cited 6 June 2025]. https://iate.europa.eu/entry/result/894832/en

91 European Commission. 2024. Position of farmers in the food supply chain: next steps. Commission Non-Paper. Brussels. https://capeye.fr/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/Nonpaper-food-chain.pdf

92 Nehamas, N., Tankersley, J. & Browning, K. 2024. Whose Fault Is Inflation? Liberals Want Biden to Blame Big Business. The New York Times, 6 June 2024. [Cited 7 May 2025]. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/06/us/politics/biden-inflation-greedflation-economy.html

93 Australian Council of Trade Unions. 2024. Inquiry into price gouging and unfair pricing practices. Melbourne, Australia. https://pricegouginginquiry.actu.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/InquiryIntoPriceGouging_Report_web.pdf

94 COFECE (Federal Economic Competition Commission). 2024. Investigative Authority finds that Gruma must sell 5 production plants to reactivate competition in the Mexican corn flour market. Mexico City. https://www.cofece.mx/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Cofece-040-2024_ENG.pdf

95 COMESA (Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa). 2024. Competition, Concentration and Market Outcomes in Fertiliser Markets In East And Southern Africa. Lilongwe, COMESA Competition Commission. https://comesacompetition.org/resources/publications/competitionconcentrationand-market-outcomes-in-fertiliser-markets-in-east-and-southern-africa

96 Maskin, E. & Tirole, J. 1988. A Theory of Dynamic Oligopoly, I: Overview and Quantity Competition with Large Fixed Costs. Econometrica, 56(3): 549–569. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911700

97 Badolo, F. 2012. Chocs de prix internationaux et transmission : cas du marché du riz au Burkina Faso. L’Actualité économique, 88(3): 317–346. https://doi.org/10.7202/1021502ar

98 Subervie, J. 2011. Producer price adjustment to commodity price shocks: An application of threshold cointegration. Economic Modelling, 28(5): 2239–2246. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2011.06.010

99 Traoré, F., Jimbira, S.S. & Sall, M.L. 2022. Nonlinear price transmission in the rice market in Senegal: a model-based recursive partitioning approach. Applied Economics, 54(20): 2343–2355. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2021.1989369

100 Hernández, M.A., Espinoza, A., Berrospi, M.L., Deconinck, K., Swinnen, J. & Vos, R. 2023. The Role of Market Concentration in the Agrifood Industry. IFPRI Discussion Paper, No. 02168. Washington, DC, IFPRI. https://cgspace.cgiar.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/a6616f26-7df9-4614-9c03-9a537ad0724a/content

101 Firat, M. & Hao, O. 2023. Demand vs. Supply Decomposition of Inflation: Cross-Country Evidence with Applications. IMF Working Papers, No. 205. Washington, DC, IMF. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400257339.001

102 Gonçalves, E. & Koester, G. 2022. The role of demand and supply in underlying inflation – decomposing HICPX inflation into components. ECB Economic Bulletin, No. 7. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/economic-bulletin/focus/2022/html/ecb.ebbox202207_07~8b71edbfcf.en.html

103 Arndt, C., Diao, X., Dorosh, P., Pauw, K. & Thurlow, J. 2023. The Ukraine war and rising commodity prices: Implications for developing countries. Global Food Security, 36: 100680. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2023.100680

104 Jia, N., Xia, Z., Li, Y., Yu, X., Wu, X., Li, Y., Su, R. et al. 2024. The Russia-Ukraine war reduced food production and exports with a disparate geographical impact worldwide. Communications Earth & Environment, 5(1): 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01915-5

105 Adjemian, M.K., Arita, S., Meyer, S. & Salin, D. 2024. Factors affecting recent food price inflation in the United States. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 46(2): 648–676. https://doi.org/10.1002/aepp.13378

106 Forbes, K., Ha, J. & Kose, M.A. 2024. Demand versus supply: Drivers of the post-pandemic inflation and interest rates. In: CEPR. [Cited 20 March 2025]. https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/demand-versus-supply-drivers-post-pandemic-inflation-and-interest-rates

107 Maccini, S. & Yang, D. 2009. Under the Weather: Health, Schooling, and Economic Consequences of Early-Life Rainfall. American Economic Review, 99(3): 1006–1026. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.99.3.1006

108 Meng, X. & Qian, N. 2009. The Long Term Consequences of Famine on Survivors: Evidence from a Unique Natural Experiment using China’s Great Famine. NBER Working Paper No. 14917. Cambridge, USA, NBER. https://doi.org/10.3386/w14917

109 Pacheco, J. & Wagner, N. 2023. Long-term impacts of an early childhood shock on human capital: Evidence from the 1999 economic crisis in Ecuador. Health Economics, 32(11): 2460–2476. https://doi.org/10.1002/hec.4742

110 Roseboom, T.J. 2017. The Effects of Prenatal Exposure to the Dutch Famine 1944–1945 on Health Across the Lifecourse. In: V. Preedy & V.B. Patel, eds. Handbook of Famine, Starvation, and Nutrient Deprivation: From Biology to Policy, pp. 1–15. Cham, Switzerland, Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-40007-5_24-1

111 ILO (International Labour Organization). 2024. Global wage report 2024-25: is wage inequality decreasing globally? Geneva, Switzerland. https://doi.org/10.54394/CJQU6666

112 Headey, D., Bachewe, F., Marshall, Q., Raghunathan, K. & Mahrt, K. 2024. Food prices and the wages of the poor: A cost-effective addition to high-frequency food security monitoring. Food Policy, 125: 102630. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102630

113 Poghosyan, T. 2025. Interactions Between Public and Private Sector Wages and Inflation in Mongolia. IMF Working Papers, 2025 (53): 1. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798229001267.001

114 Alazzawi, S. & Hlasny, V. 2023. Distributional Impacts of the Russia – Ukraine Crisis: The Case of Egypt. Economic Research Forum 29th Annual Conference, Cairo, 2023. https://erf.org.eg/app/uploads/2023/04/1681211905_392_1227368_135erf29ac_ukrainewar_azzawi_hlsany.pdf

115 Gebeltová, Z., Hálová, P., Malec, K., Bartoňová, K., Blažek, V., Maitah, M., Koželský, R. et al. 2023. Geopolitical risks for Egypt wheat supply and trade. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 7: 1137526. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1137526

116 OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development). 2023. OECD Economic Surveys: Peru 2023. Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/081e0906-en

117 Asfaw, S., Scognamillo, A., Caprera, G.D., Sitko, N. & Ignaciuk, A. 2019. Heterogeneous impact of livelihood diversification on household welfare: Cross-country evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa. World Development, 117: 278–295. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.01.017

118 Mastrorillo, M., Scognamillo, A., Ginet, C., Pietrelli, R., D’Errico, M. & Ignaciuk, A. 2024. Is the self-reliance strategy sustainable? Evidence from assistance programmes to refugees in Uganda. Food Security, 16(6): 1587–1617. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-024-01467-8

119 Zaman, H., Skoufias, E. & Tiwari, S. 2011. Can We Rely on Cash Transfers to Protect Dietary Diversity during Food Crises? Estimates from Indonesia. Policy Research Working Paper, No. 5548. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-5548

120 Brinkman, H.-J., de Pee, S., Sanogo, I., Subran, L. & Bloem, M.W. 2010. High Food Prices and the Global Financial Crisis Have Reduced Access to Nutritious Food and Worsened Nutritional Status and Health. The Journal of Nutrition, 140(1): 153S–161S. https://doi.org/10.3945/jn.109.110767

121 Quisumbing, A.R., Meinzen-Dick, R.S., Bassett, L., Usnick, M., Pandolfelli, L., Morden, C. & Alderman, H. 2008. Helping women respond to the global food price crisis. IFPRI Policy Brief No. 7. Washington, DC, IFPRI. https://ideas.repec.org//p/fpr/polbrf/7.html

122 Block, S.A., Kiess, L., Webb, P., Kosen, S., Moench-Pfanner, R., Bloem, M.W. & Peter Timmer, C. 2004. Macro shocks and micro outcomes: child nutrition during Indonesia’s crisis. Economics & Human Biology, 2(1): 21–44. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ehb.2003.12.007

123 Kansiime, M.K., Tambo, J.A., Mugambi, I., Bundi, M., Kara, A. & Owuor, C. 2021. COVID-19 implications on household income and food security in Kenya and Uganda: Findings from a rapid assessment. World Development, 137: 105199. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105199

124 Amendah, D.D., Buigut, S. & Mohamed, S. 2014. Coping Strategies among Urban Poor: Evidence from Nairobi, Kenya. PLOS One, 9(1): e83428. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0083428

125 Agada, M.O. & Igbokwe, E.M. 2014. Food Security and Coping Strategies among Ethnic Groups in North Central Nigeria. Developing Country Studies, 4(8): 31–45. https://iiste.org/Journals/index.php/DCS/article/view/12196

126 Quaye, W. 2008. Food security situation in northern Ghana, coping strategies and related constraints. African Journal of Agricultural Research, 3(5): 334–342. https://academicjournals.org/article/article1380886468_Quaye.pdf

128 Cafiero, C., Viviani, S. & Nord, M. 2018. Food security measurement in a global context: The food insecurity experience scale. Measurement, 116: 146–152. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.measurement.2017.10.065

130 Santacreu, A.M. & Zhu, H. 2017. How Does U.S. Income Inequality Compare Worldwide? In: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. [Cited 6 June 2025]. https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2017/october/how-us-income-inequality-compare-worldwide

131 Gupta, P., Waxman, E., Karpman, M., Tezel, B. & Gonzalez, D. 2024. Food Insecurity Increased for the Second Straight Year in 2023. Policy Brief. Washington, DC, Urban Institute. https://www.urban.org/research/publication/food-insecurity-increased-second-straight-year-2023

132 Cooney, P. & Shaefer, H.L. 2021. Material Hardship and Mental Health Following the COVID-19 Relief Bill and American Rescue Plan Act. Policy Brief. Ann Arbor, USA, University of Michigan. https://sites.fordschool.umich.edu/poverty2021/files/2021/05/PovertySolutions-Hardship-After-COVID-19-Relief-Bill-PolicyBrief-r1.pdf

133 Raifman, J., Bor, J. & Venkataramani, A. 2021. Association Between Receipt of Unemployment Insurance and Food Insecurity Among People Who Lost Employment During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States. JAMA Network Open, 4(1): e2035884. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.35884

134 Rosenbaum, D., Bergh, K. & Hall, L. 2023. Temporary Pandemic SNAP Benefits Will End in Remaining 35 States in March 2023. Policy Brief. Washington, DC, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. https://www.cbpp.org/research/food-assistance/temporary-pandemic-snap-benefits-will-end-in-remaining-35-states-in-march

135 Statistics Canada. 2022. Census in Brief: The contribution of pandemic relief benefits to the incomes of Canadians in 2020. Ottawa. https://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-recensement/2021/as-sa/98-200-x/2021005/98-200-x2021005-eng.pdf

137 Løvendal, C.R. & Knowles, M. 2007. Tomorrow’s Hunger: A Framework for Analysing Vulnerability to Food Security. In: B. Guha-Khasnobis, S.S. Acharya & B. Davis, eds. Food Security: Indicators, Measurement, and the Impact of Trade Openness, pp. 62–94. WIDER Studies in Development Economics. Helsinki, Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780199236558.003.0004

140 Headey, D.D. 2013. The Impact of the Global Food Crisis on Self-Assessed Food Security. The World Bank Economic Review, 27(1): 1–27.

141 Bogmans, C., Pescatori, A. & Prifti, E. 2024. How do Economic Growth and Food Inflation Affect Food Insecurity?. Working Paper, No. 188. IMF. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2024/09/06/How-do-Economic-Growth-and-Food-Inflation-Affect-Food-Insecurity-554563

143 UNU WIDER (United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research). 2025. World Income Inequality Database - WIID. In: UNU WIDER. [Cited 6 June 2025]. https://www.wider.unu.edu/database/world-income-inequality-database-wiid

144 Nakasone, E. & Ignaciuk, A. (forthcoming). A global assessment of food price dynamics and food insecurity – Background paper for The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2025. FAO Agricultural Development Economics Working Paper 25-09. Rome, FAO.

145 de la O Campos, A.P. & Garner, E. 2014. Women’s resilience to food price volatility: A policy response. Rome, FAO. https://www.fao.org/4/i3617e/i3617e.pdf

146 World Bank. 2023. Unequal Scarcity: A Gendered Analysis of Food Insecurity in the Middle East and North Africa. Policy Brief. Washington, DC. https://doi.org/10.1596/40111

148 Pinstrup-Andersen, P. & Alderman, H. 1988. The Effectiveness of Consumer-Oriented Food Subsidies in Reaching Rationing and Income Transfer Goals. In: P. Pinstrup-Andersen, ed. Food subsidies in developing countries: costs, benefits, and policy options. Baltimore, USA, Johns Hopkins University Press. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/161090

149 Chai, A. & Moneta, A. 2010. Retrospectives: Engel Curves. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 24(1): 225–240. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.24.1.225

150 Maltsoglou, I. 2007. Household Expenditure on Food of Animal Origin: A Comparison of Uganda, Vietnam and Peru. PPLPI Working Paper, No. 43. Rome, FAO. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/bp191e

151 Wirba, E.L. 2023. Identification and Estimation of Quadratic Food Engel Curves: Evidence from Cameroon. AERC Research Paper, No. 523. Nairobi, AERC (African Economic Research Consortium). https://publication.aercafricalibrary.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/21ed183e-aa88-417e-b187-28954bfd17b0/content

152 Nsabimana, A., Bali Swain, R., Surry, Y. & Ngabitsinze, J.C. 2020. Income and Food Engel Curves in Rwanda: a Household Microdata Analysis. Agricultural and Food Economics, 8(11): 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40100-020-00154-4

153 UNICEF. 2024. Child Food Poverty. Nutrition Deprivation in Early Childhood. Child Nutrition Report, 2024. New York, USA. https://www.unicef.org/media/157661/file/Child-food-poverty-2024.pdf

154 WHO. 2023. WHO Guideline for Complementary Feeding of Infants and Children 6-23 Months of Age. Geneva, Switzerland. https://iris.who.int/bitstream/handle/10665/373358/9789240081864-eng.pdf?sequence=1

155 Headey, D. & Ruel, M. 2023. Food inflation and child undernutrition in low and middle income countries. Nature Communications, 14(5761): 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-41543-9

157 Silva, N.J., Paixão, E.S., Brachowicz, N., Barreix, G., Landin, E., Rubio, F.A., Boccia, D. et al. 2024. Early-Life Exposure to Economic Shocks and Association with Childhood Malnutrition: A Pooled Analysis of 230 Nationwide Surveys from 68 Low- and Middle-Income Countries. SSRN Scholarly Paper, No. 4978385. Rochester, USA, Social Science Research Network. [Cited 18 March 2025]. https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=4978385

158 Olofin, I., McDonald, C.M., Ezzati, M., Flaxman, S., Black, R.E., Fawzi, W.W., Caulfield, L.E. & Danaei, G. 2013. Associations of Suboptimal Growth with All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in Children under Five Years: A Pooled Analysis of Ten Prospective Studies. PLOS One, 8(5): e64636. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0064636

159 Adair, L.S., Fall, C.H.D., Osmond, C., Stein, A.D., Martorell, R., Ramirez-Zea, M., Sachdev, H.S. et al. 2013. Associations of linear growth and relative weight gain during early life with adult health and human capital in countries of low and middle income: findings from five birth cohort studies. The Lancet, 382(9891): 525–534. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(13)60103-8

160 Alderman, H., Hoddinott, J. & Kinsey, B. 2006. Long term consequences of early childhood malnutrition. Oxford Economic Papers, 58(3): 450–474. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpl008

161 Field, E., Robles, O. & Torero, M. 2009. Iodine Deficiency and Schooling Attainment in Tanzania. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 1(4): 140–169. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.1.4.140

162 van den Berg, G.J., Pinger, P.R. & Schoch, J. 2016. Instrumental Variable Estimation of the Causal Effect of Hunger Early in Life on Health Later in Life. The Economic Journal, 126(591): 465–506. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecoj.12250

163 Chen, Y. & Zhou, L.-A. 2007. The long-term health and economic consequences of the 1959–1961 famine in China. Journal of Health Economics, 26(4): 659–681. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2006.12.006

164 Carneiro, P., Salvanes, K., Willage, B. & Willén, A. 2023. Childhood Shocks Across Ages and Human Capital Formation. HCEO Working Paper, No. 18. Chicago, USA, University of Chicago. https://hceconomics.uchicago.edu/research/working-paper/childhood-shocks-across-ages-and-human-capital-formation

165 Almond, D. & Currie, J. 2011. Killing Me Softly: The Fetal Origins Hypothesis. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 25(3): 153–172. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.25.3.153

166 Currie, J. & Vogl, T. 2013. Early-Life Health and Adult Circumstance in Developing Countries. Annual Review of Economics, 5: 1–36. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-economics-081412-103704

167 Mertens, A., Benjamin-Chung, J., Colford, J.M., Hubbard, A.E., van der Laan, M.J., Coyle, J., Sofrygin, O. et al. 2023. Child wasting and concurrent stunting in low- and middle-income countries. Nature, 621: 558–567. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06480-z

168 Arndt, C., Hussain, M.A., Salvucci, V. & Østerdal, L.P. 2016. Effects of food price shocks on child malnutrition: The Mozambican experience 2008/2009. Economics & Human Biology, 22: 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ehb.2016.03.003

169 Vellakkal, S., Fledderjohann, J., Basu, S., Agrawal, S., Ebrahim, S., Campbell, O., Doyle, P. & Stuckler, D. 2015. Food Price Spikes Are Associated with Increased Malnutrition among Children in Andhra Pradesh, India. The Journal of Nutrition, 145(8): 1942–1949. https://doi.org/10.3945/jn.115.211250

171 World Bank. 2024. Food Prices for Nutrition Database. In: World Bank Database. [Cited 11 January 2024]. https://doi.org/10.57966/41AN-KY81

172 FAO & WHO. 2024. What are healthy diets? Joint statement by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations and the World Health Organization. Geneva, Switzerland, WHO. https://iris.who.int/handle/10665/379324

173 Batis, C., Gatica-Domínguez, G., Marrón-Ponce, J.A., Colchero, M.A., Rivera, J.A., Barquera, S. & Stern, D. 2022. Price Trends of Healthy and Less Healthy Foods and Beverages in Mexico from 2011–2018. Journal of the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics, 122(2): 309-319. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jand.2021.08.105

174 Carlson, A. & Frazao, E. 2012. Are Healthy Foods Really More Expensive? It Depends on How You Measure the Price. IDEAS Working Paper Series from RePEc. http://search.proquest.com/docview/1697537359/?pq-origsite=primo

175 Headey, D.D. & Alderman, H.H. 2019. The Relative Caloric Prices of Healthy and Unhealthy Foods Differ Systematically across Income Levels and Continents. The Journal of Nutrition, 149(11): 2020–2033. https://doi.org/10.1093/jn/nxz158

176 Monteiro, C.A., Cannon, G., Moubarac, J.-C., Bertazzi Levy, R., Louzada, M.L.C. & Jaime, P.C. 2018. The UN Decade of Nutrition, the NOVA food classification and the trouble with ultra-processing. Public Health Nutrition, 21(1): 5–17. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1368980017000234

177 Martinez-Steele, E., Khandpur, N., Batis, C., Bes-Rastrollo, M., Bonaccio, M., Cediel, G., Huybrechts, I. et al. 2023. Best Practices for Applying the Nova Food Classification System. Nature Food, 4(6): 445–448. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-023-00779-w

178 Adjibade, M., Julia, C., Allès, B., Touvier, M., Lemogne, C., Srour, B., Hercberg, S. et al. 2019. Prospective association between ultra-processed food consumption and incident depressive symptoms in the French NutriNet-Santé cohort. BMC Medicine, 17(78): 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-019-1312-y

179 Fiolet, T., Srour, B., Sellem, L., Kesse-Guyot, E., Allès, B., Méjean, C., Deschasaux, M. et al. 2018. Consumption of ultra-processed foods and cancer risk: results from NutriNet-Santé prospective cohort. BMJ, 360(k322): 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.k322

180 Li, H., Li, S., Yang, H., Zhang, Y., Zhang, S., Ma, Y., Hou, Y. et al. 2022. Association of Ultraprocessed Food Consumption With Risk of Dementia. Neurology, 99(10): e1056–e1066. https://doi.org/10.1212/WNL.0000000000200871

181 Lo, C.-H., Khandpur, N., Rossato, S.L., Lochhead, P., Lopes, E.W., Burke, K.E., Richter, J.M. et al. 2022. Ultra-processed Foods and Risk of Crohn’s Disease and Ulcerative Colitis: A Prospective Cohort Study. Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology, 20(6): e1323–e1337. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cgh.2021.08.031

182 Moradi, S., Hojjati Kermani, M.A., Bagheri, R., Mohammadi, H., Jayedi, A., Lane, M.M., Asbaghi, O., Mehrabani, S. & Suzuki, K. 2021. Ultra-Processed Food Consumption and Adult Diabetes Risk: A Systematic Review and Dose-Response Meta-Analysis. Nutrients, 13(12): 4410. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu13124410

183 Pagliai, G., Dinu, M., Madarena, M.P., Bonaccio, M., Iacoviello, L. & Sofi, F. 2021. Consumption of ultra-processed foods and health status: a systematic review and meta-analysis. The British Journal of Nutrition, 125(3): 308–318. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007114520002688

184 Rey-García, J., Donat-Vargas, C., Sandoval-Insausti, H., Bayan-Bravo, A., Moreno-Franco, B., Banegas, J.R., Rodríguez-Artalejo, F. & Guallar-Castillón, P. 2021. Ultra-Processed Food Consumption is Associated with Renal Function Decline in Older Adults: A Prospective Cohort Study. Nutrients, 13(2): 428. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu13020428

185 Wang, M., Du, X., Huang, W. & Xu, Y. 2022. Ultra-Processed Foods Consumption Increases the Risk of Hypertension in Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. American Journal of Hypertension, 35(10): 892–901. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajh/hpac069

186 Zhang, S., Gan, S., Zhang, Q., Liu, L., Meng, G., Yao, Z., Wu, H. et al. 2022. Ultra-processed food consumption and the risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in the Tianjin Chronic Low-grade Systemic Inflammation and Health Cohort Study. International Journal of Epidemiology, 51(1): 237–249. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyab174

187 Lane, M.M., Gamage, E., Du, S., Ashtree, D.N., McGuinness, A.J., Gauci, S., Baker, P. et al. 2024. Ultra-processed Food Exposure and Adverse Health Outcomes: Umbrella Review of Epidemiological Meta-Analyses. BMJ, 384: e077310. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2023-077310

188 Wolfson, J.A., Tucker, A.C., Leung, C.W., Rebholz, C.M., Garcia-Larsen, V. & Martinez-Steele, E. 2025. Trends in Adults’ Intake of Un-processed/Minimally Processed, and Ultra-processed foods at Home and Away from Home in the United States from 2003–2018. The Journal of Nutrition, 155(1): 280–292. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tjnut.2024.10.048

189 Marino, M., Puppo, F., Del Bo’, C., Vinelli, V., Riso, P., Porrini, M. & Martini, D. 2021. A Systematic Review of Worldwide Consumption of Ultra-Processed Foods: Findings and Criticisms. Nutrients, 13(8): 2778. https://doi.org/10.3390/nu13082778

190 Monteiro, C.A., Moubarac, J.-C., Cannon, G., Ng, S.W. & Popkin, B. 2013. Ultra-processed products are becoming dominant in the global food system. Obesity Reviews, 14(S2): 21–28. https://doi.org/10.1111/obr.12107

191 Vignola, E.F., Nazmi, A. & Freudenberg, N. 2021. What Makes Ultra-Processed Food Appealing? A critical scan and conceptual model. World Nutrition, 12(4): 136–175. https://doi.org/10.26596/wn.202112483-135

192 Luiten, C.M., Steenhuis, I.H., Eyles, H., Mhurchu, C.N. & Waterlander, W.E. 2016. Ultra-processed Foods Have the Worst Nutrient Profile, yet they are the Most Available Packaged Products in a Sample of New Zealand Supermarkets. Public Health Nutrition, 19(3): 530–538. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1368980015002177

193 Swinburn, B.A., Sacks, G., Hall, K.D., McPherson, K., Finegood, D.T., Moodie, M.L. & Gortmaker, S.L. 2011. The Global Obesity Pandemic: Shaped by Global Drivers and Local Environments. The Lancet, 378(9793): 804–814. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(11)60813-1

194 Mendes, C., Miranda, L., Claro, R. & Horta, P. 2021. Food Marketing in Supermarket Circulars in Brazil: An Obstacle to Healthy Eating. Preventive Medicine Reports, 21: 101304. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pmedr.2020.101304

195 Moodie, R., Bennett, E., Kwong, E.J.L., Santos, T.M., Pratiwi, L., Williams, J. & Baker, P. 2021. Ultra-Processed Profits: The Political Economy of Countering the Global Spread of Ultra-Processed Foods – A Synthesis Review on the Market and Political Practices of Transnational Food Corporations and Strategic Public Health Responses. International Journal of Health Policy and Management, 10(Special Issue on Political Economy of Food Systems): 968–982. https://doi.org/10.34172/ijhpm.2021.45

196 Wood, B., Williams, O., Baker, P. & Sacks, G. 2023. Behind the ‘creative destruction’ of human diets: An analysis of the structure and market dynamics of the ultra-processed food manufacturing industry and implications for public health. Journal of Agrarian Change, 23(4): 811–843. https://doi.org/10.1111/joac.12545

197 Nguyen, T., Pham Thi Mai, H., van den Berg, M., Huynh Thi Thanh, T. & Béné, C. 2021. Interactions between Food Environment and (Un)healthy Consumption: Evidence along a Rural-Urban Transect in Viet Nam. Agriculture, 11(8): 789. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture11080789

198 Popkin, B.M. & Ng, S.W. 2022. The nutrition transition to a stage of high obesity and noncommunicable disease prevalence dominated by ultra-processed foods is not inevitable. Obesity Reviews, 23(1): e13366. https://doi.org/10.1111/obr.13366

199 Raneri, J.E., Kennedy, G., Nguyen, T., Wertheim-Heck, S.C.O., Do, H. & Nguyen, P.H. 2019. Determining key research areas for healthier diets and sustainable food systems in Viet Nam. IFPRI Discussion Paper, No. 1872. Washington, DC, IFPRI. https://hdl.handle.net/10568/106823

200 Reardon, T., Tschirley, D., Liverpool-Tasie, L.S.O., Awokuse, T., Fanzo, J., Minten, B., Vos, R. et al. 2021. The processed food revolution in African food systems and the double burden of malnutrition. Global Food Security, 28: 100466. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100466

201 Sauer, C.M., Reardon, T., Tschirley, D., Liverpool-Tasie, S., Awokuse, T., Alphonce, R., Ndyetabula, D. & Waized, B. 2021. Consumption of processed food and food away from home in big cities, small towns, and rural areas of Tanzania. Agricultural Economics, 52(5): 749–770. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12652

202 Anastasiou, K., Baker, P., Hadjikakou, M., Hendrie, G.A. & Lawrence, M. 2022. A conceptual framework for understanding the environmental impacts of ultra-processed foods and implications for sustainable food systems. Journal of Cleaner Production, 368: 133155. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2022.133155

203 de Castro Moura Duarte, A.L., Picanço Rodrigues, V. & Bonome Message Costa, L. 2024. The sustainability challenges of fresh food supply chains: an integrative framework. Environment, Development and Sustainability. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-024-04850-9

204 Pan, Z. & Zheng, X. 2023. Price volatility transmission of perishable agricultural products: evidence from China. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 36(1): 2180058. https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2023.2180058

205 Costlow, L., Martínez, E., Gilbert, R., Nakasone, E. & Masters, W.A. (forthcomìng). Price dynamics for foods of varied nutritional characteristics – Background paper for The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2025. FAO Agricultural Development Economics Working Paper 25-07. Rome, FAO.

206 Forde, C.G. & Decker, E.A. 2022. The Importance of Food Processing and Eating Behavior in Promoting Healthy and Sustainable Diets. Annual Review of Nutrition, 42: 377–399. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-nutr-062220-030123

207 Scott, F., Cowley, C. & Kreitman, T. 2023. Tight Labor Markets Have Been a Key Contributor to High Food Inflation. In: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. [Cited 19 March 2025]. https://www.kansascityfed.org/research/economic-bulletin/tight-labor-markets-have-been-a-key-contributor-to-high-food-inflation

208 Monteiro, C.A., Cannon, G., Moubarac, J.-C., Levy, R.B., Louzada, M.L.C. & Jaime, P.C. 2018. The UN Decade of Nutrition, the NOVA food classification and the trouble with ultra-processing. Public Health Nutrition, 21(1): 5–17. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1368980017000234

الفصل 4

مراجـع متوفرة باللغـة العر بيـة:

4 صندوق النقد الدولي. 2024. تقرير الراصد المالي: وضع حد لنمو الدين العام – أكتوبر/تشرين الأوّل 2024. واشنطن، العاصمة. https://www.imf.org/ar/Publications/FM/Issues/2024/10/23/fiscal-monitor-october-2024.

11 صندوق النقد الدولي. 2022. الراصد المالي: سياسة المالية العامة من الجائحة إلى الحرب – أبريل/نيسان 2022. واشنطن، العاصمة. https://www.imf.org/ar/Publications/FM/Issues/2022/04/12/fiscal-monitor-april-2022

14 صندوق النقد الدولي. 2023. الراصد المالي: على طريق العوده إلى السياسات العادية – أبريل 2023. واشنطن، العاصمة. https://www.imf.org/ar/Publications/FM/Issues/2023/04/03/fiscal-monitor-april-2023.

15 صندوق النقد الدولي. 2024. آفاق الاقتصاد العالمي، أكتوبر/تشرين الأول 2024: تحول السياسات، وتزايد التهديدات. في: صندوق النقد الدولي. [ورد ذكره في 20 فبراير/شباط 2025]. https://www.imf.org/ar/Publications/WEO/Issues/2024/10/22/world-economic-outlook-october-2024

38 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة والصندوق الدولي للتنمية الزراعية ومنظمة الأمم المتحدة للطفولة (اليونيسف) وبرنامج الأغذية العالمي ومنظمة الصحة العالمية. 2024. حالة الأمن الغذائي والتغذية في العالم 2024 – التمويل من أجل القضاء على الجوع وانعدام الأمن الغذائي وسوء التغذية بجميع أشكاله. روما. https://doi.org/10.4060/cd1254ar

41 صندوق النقد الدولي. 2022. الراصد المالي: مساعدة الناس على التعافي – أكتوبر/تشرين الأوّل 2022. واشنطن، العاصمة. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/FM/Issues/2022/10/09/fiscal-monitor-october-22

67 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2024. حالة أسواق السلع الزراعية 2024 – التجارة والتغذية اتساق السياسات من أجل أنماط غذائية صحية. روما. https://doi.org/10.4060/cd2144ar

91 Gadhok, I. وAvesani, C. 2021. الاحتفاظ بمخزونات حكومية من الأغذية: الأهداف والتجارب والقضايا الرئيسية. موجز السياسات التجارية، رقم 46. روما. منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. https://doi.org/10.4060/cb7271ar

93 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2018. حالة أسواق السلع الزراعية 2018 – تجارة المنتجات الزراعية وتغير المناخ والأمن الغذائي. 2018. روما. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/i9542ar

110 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة والصندوق الدولي للتنمية الزراعية ومنظمة الأمم المتحدة للطفولة (اليونيسف) وبرنامج الأغذية العالمي ومنظمة الصحة العالمية. 2020. حالة الأمن الغذائي والتغذية في العالم 2020. تحويل النظم الغذائية من أجل أنماط غذائية صحيّة. روما، منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. https://doi.org/10.4060/ca9692ar

122 الصندوق الدولي للتنمية الزراعية. 2021. تقرير التنمية الريفية 2021 للصندوق الدولي للتنمية الزراعية – تحويل النظم الغذائية من أجل الازدهار الريفي. روما. www.ifad.org/ar/w/events/rdr-2021-launch

المراجـع الأجنبية

(مترتـبة حسـب ورودهـا فـي النـص)

1 IMF. 2021. Database of Fiscal Policy Responses to COVID-19: Fiscal Monitor Database of Country Fiscal Measures in Response to the COVID-19 Pandemic. [Accessed on 1 March 2025]. https://www.imf.org/en/Topics/imf-and-covid19/Fiscal-Policies-Database-in-Response-to-COVID-19

2 Hosny, A. 2021. The Sooner (and the Smarter), the Better: COVID-19 Containment Measures and Fiscal Responses. IMF Working Papers 21 (65). Washington, DC, IMF. https://doi.org/10.5089/9781513571638.001

3 Gentilini, U., Almenfi, M.B.A., Iyengar, T., Okamura, Y., Downes, J.A., Dale, P., Weber, M. et al. 2022. Social Protection and Jobs Responses to COVID-19: A Real-Time Review of Country Measures. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://hdl.handle.net/10986/37186

5 IMF. 2024. Fiscal Monitor: Putting a lid on public debt – October 2024. Washington, DC. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/FM/Issues/2024/10/23/fiscal-monitor-october-2024

6 Algieri, B., Kornher, L. & von Braun, J. 2024. The Changing Drivers of Food Inflation – Macroeconomics, Inflation, and War. http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4748639

7 Kindberg-Hanlon, G. 2021. Food price volatility and inflation in low-income countries. In: World Bank Blogs. [Cited 21 March 2025]. https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/developmenttalk/food-price-volatility-and-inflation-low-income-countries

8 Laborde, D., Lakatos, C. & Martin, W. 2019. Poverty Impact of Food Price Shocks and Policies. Policy Research Working Paper No. 8724. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/863311549375011898/pdf/WPS8724.pdf

9 OECD. 2021. Keep calm and carry on feeding: Agriculture and food policy responses to the COVID-19 crisis. Policy paper. Paris. https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/keep-calm-and-carry-on-feeding-agriculture-and-food-policy-responses-to-the-covid-19-crisis_db1bf302-en.html

10 Wineman, A., Mwakiwa, E., Agyei-Holmes, A., Fall, M.G., Kirimi, L., Mpenda, Z., Mutandwa, E., Ogunbayo, I. & Tschirley, D. 2024. Price Shocks and Associated Policy Responses Stemming from the Russia-Ukraine War and Other Global Crises: Evidence from Ghana, Kenya, Nigeria, Senegal, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe. East Labsing, USA, Michigan State University. https://www.canr.msu.edu/prci/assets/DayTwo-Wineman-Shocks-FULL_REPORT.pdf

12 World Bank. 2024. The World Bank’s Support for Repurposing of Agrifood Public Policies and Programs: Moving from Advocacy to Action. Washington, DC. https://thedocs.worldbank.org/en/doc/3da165e0bcb0ed7dddba9939afb21fda-0590012023/related/The-World-Bank-s-Support-for-Repurposing-of-Agrifood-Public-Policies-and-Programs-Sep-2024.pdf

13 OECD. 2023. Agricultural Policy Monitoring and Evaluation 2023 – Adapting Agriculture to Climate Change. Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/b14de474-en

16 Amaglobeli, D., Gu, M., Hanedar, E., Hong, G.H. & Thevenot, C. 2023. Policy Responses to High Energy and Food Prices. IMF Working Papers. Washington, DC, IMF. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400237768.001

17 Bryan, S. 2014. A Cacophony of Policy Responses: Evidence from Fourteen Countries during the 2007–8 Food Price Crisis. In: P. Pinstrup-Andersen, ed. Food Price Policy in an Era of Market Instability, pp. 51–75. Oxford, UK, Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198718574.003.0003

18 FAO. 2011. Guide for Policy and Programmatic Actions at Country Level to Address High Food Prices. Rome. https://www.fao.org/fileadmin/user_upload/ISFP/ISFP_guide_web.pdf

19 Pernechele, V., Balié, J. & Ghins, L. 2018. Agricultural policy incentives in sub-Saharan Africa in the last decade (2005-2016): Monitoring and Analysing Food and Agricultural Policies (MAFAP) synthesis study. FAO Agricultural Development Economics Technical Study, No. 3. Rome, FAO. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/i8997en

20 Resnick, D. 2014. The Political Economy of Food Price Policy in Senegal. In: P. Pinstrup-Andersen, ed. Food Price Policy in an Era of Market Instability. First edition, pp. 296–316. Oxford, UK, Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/acprof:oso/9780198718574.003.0014

21 Kuik, F., Lis, E.M., Paredes, J. & Rubene, I. 2024. What were the drivers of euro area food price inflation over the last two years? ECB Economic Bulletin, 2. https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/economic-bulletin/focus/2024/html/ecb.ebbox202402_04~9b36bced23.en.html

22 Briones Alonso, E. & Swinnen, J. 2016. Who are the producers and consumers? Value chains and food policy effects in the wheat sector in Pakistan. Food Policy, 61: 40–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2016.02.001

23 Kumar Basantaray, A. 2023. Is Minimum Support Price Effective in India? Evidence from State-wise Paddy Procurement. Asian Journal of Agricultural Extension, Economics & Sociology, 41(1): 53–65. https://doi.org/10.9734/ajaees/2023/v41i11833

24 Morales, L.E., Balié, J. & Magrini, E. 2021. How has the minimum support price policy of India affected cross-commodity price linkages? International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, 24(2): 179–196. https://doi.org/10.22434/IFAMR2020.0035

25 Aditya, K.S., Subash, S.P., Praveen, K.V., Nithyashree, M.L., Bhuvana, N. & Sharma, A. 2017. Awareness about Minimum Support Price and Its Impact on Diversification Decision of Farmers in India. Asia & the Pacific Policy Studies, 4(3): 514–526. https://doi.org/10.1002/app5.197

26 Chand, R. 2003. Minimum Support Price in Agriculture – Changing Requirements. Economic & Political Weekly, 38(29). https://www.epw.in/journal/2003/29/commentary/minimum-support-price-agriculture.html

27 WHO. 2020. Guidance on Mainstreaming Biodiversity for Nutrition and Health. First edition. Geneva, Switzerland. https://iris.who.int/bitstream/handle/10665/351047/9789240006690-eng.pdf?sequence=1

28 Sträuli, B., Thow, A.M. & Reeve, E. 2025. Policy coherence of price controls on food and noncommunicable disease prevention, WHO South-East Asia and Western Pacific regions. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 103: 43–50. https://doi.org/10.2471/BLT.24.291812

29 Gentilini, U., Almenfi, M., Iyengar, H.T., Valleriani, G., Okamura, Y., Urteaga, E.R., Aziz, S., Al Azim Bin Noruzi, M.F. & Chu, M. 2023. Tracking Global Social Protection Responses to Inflation – Living paper v.5. Social Protection & Jobs Discussion Paper No. 2305. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://hdl.handle.net/10986/37441

30 European Commission. 2021. VAT rates applied in the Member States of the European Union – Situation at 1st January 2021. Brussels. https://taxation-customs.ec.europa.eu/system/files/2021-06/vat_rates_en.pdf

31 Jaworski, K. & Olipra, J. 2025. Cutting VAT rate on food products in a high-inflation environment. Does it work out? Food Policy, 131: 102816. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2025.102816

32 Fuest, C., Neumeier, F. & Stöhlker, D. 2021. The Pass-Through of Temporary VAT Rate Cuts: Evidence from German Supermarket Retail. CESifo Working Paper No. 9149. Munich, Germany, CESifo. https://www.cesifo.org/en/publications/2021/working-paper/pass-through-temporary-vat-rate-cuts-evidence-german-supermarket

33 Benzarti, Y., Garriga, S. & Tortarolo, D. 2024. Can VAT cuts and anti-profiteering measures dampen the effects of food price inflation? NBER Working Paper Series No. 32241. Cambridge, USA, NBER. https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w32241/w32241.pdf

34 Wodon, Q. & Zaman, H. 2010. Higher Food Prices in Sub-Saharan Africa: Poverty Impact and Policy Responses. The World Bank Research Observer, 25(1): 157–176. https://doi.org/10.1093/wbro/lkp018

35 UNCTAD. 2023. UNCTAD Data Hub: Currency exchange rates, annual. [Accessed on 8 April 2025]. https://unctadstat.unctad.org/datacentre/dataviewer/US.ExchangeRateCrosstab. Licence: CC-3.0-IGO.

36 de Quatrebarbes, C., Laporte, B. & Calipel, S. 2021. Fighting the soaring prices of agricultural food products - VAT versus Trade tariffs exemptions. A case study in Niger. FERDI Working Paper No. 283. Clermont-Ferrand, France, FERDI (Foundation for Studies and Research on International Development). https://ferdi.fr/dl/df-xtDWDUvgS2TZ8XZfpJeZKsYc/ferdi-wp283-fighting-the-soaring-prices-of-agricultural-food-products-vat.pdf

37 SNAO (Swedish National Audit Office). 2018. Reduced VAT on food – price effect, distribution profile and cost effectiveness. Report No. RiR 2018:25. Stockholm. https://www.riksrevisionen.se/download/18.2008b69c18bd0f6ed3f2c2ff/1547423285754/RiR_2018_25_ENGLISH.pdf

39 WHO. 2025. Sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB) taxation. In: WHO. [Cited 6 June 2025]. https://gifna.who.int/summary/SSBtax

40 WHO. 2024. Fiscal Policies to Promote Healthy Diets: WHO Guideline. Geneva, Switzerland. https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240091016

42 Gentilini, U. 2022. Links Sept 23 – *special edition* on responses to inflation! In: Weekly social protection links. [Cited 8 April 2025]. https://www.ugogentilini.net/links-sept-23-special-edition-on-responses-to-inflation

43 Olney, D.K., Gelli, A., Kumar, N., Alderman, H., Go, A., Raza, A., Owens, J. et al. 2021. Nutrition-sensitive social protection programs within food systems. Washington, DC, IFPRI. https://doi.org/10.2499/p15738coll2.134593

44 Headey, D., Hemachandra, D. & Ranucci, I. 2024. An empirical investigation of UNICEF’s nutrition-sensitive short-term cash transfer programme in Sri Lanka. UNICEF Sri Lanka Working Paper, August, 2024. Colombo, UNICEF. https://www.unicef.org/srilanka/media/4691/file/An%20empirical%20investigation%20of%20UNICEF%E2%80%99s%20nutrition-sensitive%20short-term%20cash%20transfer%20programme%20in%20Sri%20Lanka.pdf

45 Balagamwala, M., Kuri, S., Jaramillo Mejia, J.G. & de Pee, S. 2024. The affordability gap for nutritious diets – How big is it and how to close it? Global Food Security, 41: 100757. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2024.100757

46 WFP. 2024. Mind the gap – Using diet cost and affordability metrics to inform food security and nutrition-sensitive social protection. Rome. https://docs.wfp.org/api/documents/WFP-0000162027/download/?_ga=2.69955664.1515014824.1744118333-1754659361.1718369718

47 Lawlor, K., Handa, S., Seidenfeld, D. & The Zambia Cash Transfer Evaluation Team. 2019. Cash Transfers Enable Households to Cope with Agricultural Production and Price Shocks: Evidence from Zambia. The Journal of Development Studies, 55(2): 209–226. https://doi.org/10.1080/00220388.2017.1393519

48 Leight, J., Hirvonen, K. & Zafar, S. 2024. The Effectiveness of Cash and Cash Plus Interventions on Livelihoods Outcomes – Evidence from a Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. IFPRI Discussion Paper No. 02262. Washington, DC, IFPRI. https://cgspace.cgiar.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/617b278a-7445-4f0b-b11e-9751c62bfa5c/content

49 Uchiyama, N. 2017. Impacts of CCT and Rising Food Prices on Rural Household Consumption. In: Household Vulnerability and Conditional Cash Transfers. Singapore, Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-4103-7_3

50 Bayale, N., Lanie, T., Ngaba, E.A., Nagou, M. & Abah, K. 2024. From food inflation to cash transfers and food subsidies: Assessing impacts on households’ consumption and welfare in Togo. African Development Review, 36(4): 621–632. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12778

51 Gentilini, U., Iyengar, H.T., Valleriani, G., Aziz, S., Arimbi, H.R., Miranda Nogueira, J.L., Trujillo, M.A. & Calvin, C. 2024. Keep the Pace – How Inflation Erodes Cash Transfers and What to Do About it. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://hdl.handle.net/10986/42485

52 Megersa, K. 2019. Cash transfer programmes in high inflation contexts. K4D Helpdesk report. London, UK Aid. https://www.calpnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/ninja-forms/2/686_Cash_Transfer_Programmes_in_High_Inflation_Contexts.pdf

53 Hobson, M. 2009. The food price crisis and its impact on the Ethiopian Productive Safety Net Programme in 2008. Humanitarian Exchange, 42: 17–22. https://odihpn.org/wp-content/uploads/2009/05/humanitarianexchange042.pdf

54 Jeong, D. & Trako, I. 2022. Cash and In-Kind Transfers in Humanitarian settings. Policy Research Working Paper No. 10026. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://hdl.handle.net/10986/37369

55 Bailey, S. & Pongracz, S. 2015. Humanitarian cash transfers: cost, value for money and economic impact – Background note for the High Level Panel on Humanitarian Cash Transfers. London, ODI (Overseas Development Institute). https://media.odi.org/documents/9731.pdf

56 Gentilini, U. 2016. The Other Side of the Coin: The Comparative Evidence of Cash and in-Kind Transfers in Humanitarian Situations? Washington, DC, World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-0910-1

57 Friedman, M. 1989. Quantity Theory of Money. In: J. Eatwell, M. Milgate & P. Newman, eds. Money, pp. 1–40. London, Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-19804-7_1

58 Guénette, J.D., Kose, M.A. & Sugawara, N. 2022. Is global recession imminent? EFI Policy Note 4. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://hdl.handle.net/10986/38019

59 Sami, J. & Makun, K. 2024. Food inflation and monetary policy in emerging economies. Journal of Asian Economics, 95: 101817. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asieco.2024.101817

60 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. 2024. FAQs – What is forward guidance, and how is it used in the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy? In: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. [Cited 8 April 2025]. https://www.federalreserve.gov/faqs/what-is-forward-guidance-how-is-it-used-in-the-federal-reserve-monetary-policy.htm

61 English, B., Forbes, K. & Ubide, A., eds. 2024. Monetary Policy Responses to the Post-Pandemic Inflation. Paris, CEPR (Centre for Economic Policy Research). https://cepr.org/publications/books-and-reports/monetary-policy-responses-post-pandemic-inflation

62 UNCTAD. 2024. A world of debt report 2024 – A growing burden to global prosperity. New York, USA. https://unctad.org/system/files/official-document/osgttinf2024d1_en.pdf

63 Ha, J., Kose, M.A. & Ohnsorge, F. 2019. Inflation in Emerging and Developing Economies: Evolution, Drivers, and Policies. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/978-1-4648-1375-7

64 Thompson Thow, A.M. 2024. Protecting nutrition in a food crisis. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 102(11): 813–819. https://doi.org/10.2471/BLT.24.291393

65 Zimmermann, A. & Rapsomanikis, G. 2023. Trade and Sustainable Food Systems. In: J. Von Braun, K. Afsana, L.O. Fresco & M.H.A. Hassan, eds. Science and Innovations for Food Systems Transformation, pp. 685–709. Cham, Switzerland, Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-15703-5_36

66 FAO. 2021. Agricultural trade & policy responses during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Rome. https://doi.org/10.4060/cb4553en

68 Martin, W., Mamun, A., Minot, N. & Vos, R. 2024. Trade policy and food price volatility: Beggar thy neighbor or beggar thyself? In: IFPRI Blog. [Cited 8 April 2025]. https://www.ifpri.org/blog/trade-policy-and-food-price-volatility-beggar-thy-neighbor-or-beggar-thyself/

69 Elobeid, A., Carriquiry, M., Swenson, D. & Hayes, D. 2019. Analysis of the Effects of Chinese and Mexican Retaliatory Tariffs on Select U.S. Agricultural Commodities on U.S. and Global Markets. Serie Documentos de Trabajo (Working Papers Series) No. 22/2019. Montevideo, University of the Republic. https://iecon.fcea.udelar.edu.uy/images/publicaciones/700/dt-22-19.pdf

70 USDA. 2021. China Hastens Ag Import Diversification. Voluntary Report February, 2021. Washington, DC. https://apps.fas.usda.gov/newgainapi/api/Report/DownloadReportByFileName?fileName=China%20Hastens%20Ag%20Import%20Diversification_Guangzhou%20ATO_China%20-%20Peoples%20Republic%20of_02-04-2021

71 Wieck, C., Rudloff, B., Mensah, K., Kareem, O., Montesclaros, J.M.L., Orden, D., Søndergaard, N. & Yu, W. 2024. Geostrategic dimensions of recent food policy decisions. Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, 46(4): 1605–1626. https://doi.org/10.1002/aepp.13479

72 Jadhav, R. & Bhardwaj, M. 2024. India plans to raise vegetable oils import taxes, government sources say. In: Reuters. [Cited 20 March 2025]. https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/india-plans-raise-import-taxes-vegetable-oils-help-farmers-government-sources-2024-08-28/

73 Laborde, D., Mamun, A. & Parent, M. 2020. Food Security Portal: COVID-19 Food Trade Policy Tracker. [Accessed on 17 March 2025]. https://www.foodsecurityportal.org/tools/COVID-19-food-trade-policy-tracker#the-tool

74 Nangoy, F. 2022. Indonesia bans palm oil exports as global food inflation spikes. In: Reuters. [Cited 20 March 2025]. https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/indonesia-ban-palm-oil-exports-shore-up-supply-soyoil-futures-surge-2022-04-22/

75 Council of the European Union. 2021. Council Regulation (EU) 2021/2283 of 20 December 2021 opening and providing for the management of autonomous tariff quotas of the Union for certain agricultural and industrial products, and repealing Regulation (EU) No 1388/2013. In: EUR-Lex. [Cited 20 March 2025]. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2021/2283/oj/eng

76 FAO. 2021. Public food stockholding – A review of policies and practices. Rome. https://doi.org/10.4060/cb7146en

77 Giordani, P.E., Rocha, N. & Ruta, M. 2016. Food prices and the multiplier effect of trade policy. Journal of International Economics, 101: 102–122. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2016.04.001

78 Fulton, M.E. & Reynolds, T. 2015. The Political Economy of Food Price Volatility: The Case of Vietnam and Rice. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 97(4): 1206–1226. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aav019

79 Brander, M., Bernauer, T. & Huss, M. 2023. Trade policy announcements can increase price volatility in global food commodity markets. Nature Food, 4: 331–340. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-023-00729-6

80 Brownlie, W.J., Sutton, M.A., Cordell, D., Reay, D.S., Heal, K.V., Withers, P.J.A., Vanderbeck, I. & Spears, B.M. 2023. Phosphorus price spikes: A wake-up call for phosphorus resilience. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 7: 1088776. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2023.1088776

81 Khabarov, N. & Obersteiner, M. 2017. Global Phosphorus Fertilizer Market and National Policies: A Case Study Revisiting the 2008 Price Peak. Frontiers in Nutrition, 4: 22. https://doi.org/10.3389/fnut.2017.00022

82 Global Trade Alert. 2022. China: Phosphate export quotas down 45% from previous year. In: Global Trade Alert. [Cited 17 March 2025]. https://globaltradealert.org/intervention/106451-china-phosphate-export-quotas-down-45-from-previous-year

83 Hebebrand, C. & Glauber, J. 2024. Global fertilizer trade 2021-2023: What happened after war-related price spikes. In: IFPRI Blog. https://www.ifpri.org/blog/global-fertilizer-trade-2021-2023-what-happened-after-war-related-price-spikes

84 Kee, J., Cardell, L. & Zereyesus, Y.A. 2023. Global Fertilizer Market Challenged by Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine. In: Amber Waves. US Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service. [Cited 17 March 2025]. https://www.ers.usda.gov/amber-waves/2023/september/global-fertilizer-market-challenged-by-russia-s-invasion-of-ukraine

85 Donaldson, G.F. 1975. Fertilizer issues in the 1970s and beyond. Development Digest, XIII(4): 3–17.

86 Manduna, C. & Murphy, S. 2024. Public stocks at the WTO. Making sense of food security and agriculture negotiations at MC13. Minneapolis, USA, IATP (Institute for Agriculture & Trade Policy). https://www.iatp.org/public-stocks-wto

87 Hanedar, E., Hong, G.H. & Thevenot, C. 2022. Fiscal Policy for Mitigating the Social Impact of High Energy and Food Prices. IMF Notes No 2022/001. Washington, DC, IMF. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/IMF-Notes/Issues/2022/06/07/Fiscal-Policy-for-Mitigating-the-Social-Impact-of-High-Energy-and-Food-Prices-519013

88 OECD. 2009. Managing Risk in Agriculture – A Holistic Approach. Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264075313-en

89 Viglione, G. 2024. Experts: What is causing food prices to spike around the world? In: Carbon Brief. [Cited 17 March 2025]. https://www.carbonbrief.org/experts-what-is-causing-food-prices-to-spike-around-the-world

90 FAO, World Bank & WFP. 2025. Strengthening Strategic Grain Reserves to Enhance Food Security. Washington, DC, World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/43131

92 Glauber, J. 2024. Public stockholding programs and the WTO. In: V. Piñeiro, A. Campos & M. Piñeiro, eds. Navigating the trade landscape: A Latin American perspective building on the WTO 13th ministerial conference, pp. 42–59. Washington, DC, IFPRI. https://cgspace.cgiar.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/e72546a4-0033-4cb3-bc1f-c56115fbd38a/content

94 World Bank. 2012. Using public food grain stocks to enhance food security. Washington, DC. http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/412711468336603745

95 Wesseler, J. 2020. Storage Policies: Stockpiling Versus Immediate Release. Journal of Agricultural & Food Industrial Organization, 18(1): 20190055. https://doi.org/10.1515/jafio-2019-0055

96 OECD. 2018. The Economic Effects of Public Stockholding Policies for Rice in Asia. Paris. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264305366-en

97 Kornher, L. & Kalkuhl, M. 2016. The Costs and Benefits of Regional Cooperation on Grain Reserves: The Case of ECOWAS. In: M. Kalkuhl, J. Von Braun & M. Torero, eds. Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy, pp. 353–384. Cham, Switzerland, Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-28201-5_15

98 European Commission. 2025. Commission starts setting up the Agriculture and Food Chain Observatory. In: European Commission. [Cited 9 June 2025]. https://agriculture.ec.europa.eu/media/news/commission-starts-setting-agriculture-and-food-chain-observatory-2024-04-09_en

99 Gouel, C. 2020. The Value of Public Information in Storable Commodity Markets: Application to the Soybean Market. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 102(3): 846–865. https://doi.org/10.1002/ajae.12013

100 AMIS (Agricultural market Information System). 2024. The AMIS Secretariat. In: AMIS. [Cited 20 March 2025]. https://www.amis-outlook.org/about/secretariat

101 FAO. 2024. New contribution to the Agricultural Market Information System (AMIS) will bolster market intelligence on key commodities. In: FAO. [Cited 20 March 2025]. https://www.fao.org/europeanunion/resource-repository/news/news-detail/new-contribution-to-the-agricultural-market-information-system-(amis)-will-bolster-market-intelligence-on-key-commodities/en

102 Jatana, R. & Goswami, M. 2022. E-NAM Platform: A hand to survive Indian agriculture from the COVID-19 outbreak. International Journal of Engineering Technologies and Management Research, 9(1): 33–43. https://doi.org/10.29121/ijetmr.v9.i1.2022.1103

103 Steinwender, C. 2014. Information Frictions and the Law of One Price: “When the States and the Kingdom became United”. Working Papers No. 190. Vienna, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank). https://www.oenb.at/en/Publications/Economics/Working-Papers/2014/Working-Paper-190.html

104 Jensen, R. 2007. The Digital Provide: Information (Technology), Market Performance, and Welfare in the South Indian Fisheries Sector. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122(3): 879–924. https://doi.org/10.1162/qjec.122.3.879

105 Aker, J.C. 2010. Information from Markets Near and Far: Mobile Phones and Agricultural Markets in Niger. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2(3): 46–59. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.2.3.46

106 Brooks, J. 2012. Agricultural Policies for Poverty Reduction. Paris, OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264112902-en

107 FAO. 2025. Government expenditures in agriculture 2001–2023 – Global and regional trends. FAOSTAT Analytical Briefs, No. 100. Rome. https://doi.org/10.4060/cd3995en

108 FAO. 2024. Credit to agriculture – Global and regional trends 2014–2023. FAOSTAT Analytical Briefs, No. 97. Rome. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/cd3761en

109 Reeve, E., Mason-D’Croz, D. & Thompson Thow, A.M. 2025. Health sector advocacy for repurposing agricultural investments affecting fruits, vegetables and legumes. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 103(5): 328–336. https://doi.org/10.2471/BLT.24.292201

111 Plastina, A. & Townsend, T. 2023. World Spending on Agricultural Research and Development. Agricultural Policy Review, Winter 2023. http://www.card.iastate.edu/ag_policy_review/article/?a=152

112 Nelson, K.P. & Fuglie, K. 2022. Investment in U.S. Public Agricultural Research and Development has Fallen by a Third Over Past Two decades, Lags Major Trade competitors. In: Amber Waves. US Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service. [Cited 20 March 2025]. https://www.ers.usda.gov/amber-waves/2022/june/investment-in-u-s-public-agricultural-research-and-development-has-fallen-by-a-third-over-past-two-decades-lags-major-trade-competitors

113 EUROSTAT. 2024. EU spent €381.4 billion on R&D in 2023. In: EUROSTAT. [Cited 20 March 2025]. https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-eurostat-news/w/ddn-20241211-2

114 Bailey, R. & Wellesley, L. 2017. Chokepoints and Vulnerabilities in Global Food Trade. Chatham House report. London, Chatham House. https://www.chathamhouse.org/2017/06/chokepoints-and-vulnerabilities-global-food-trade

115 CGIAR. 2023. Initiative Result: Cold transportation reduces food losses and improves income and welfare in Nigeria. In: CGIAR. [Cited 9 April 2025]. https://www.cgiar.org/initiative-result/cold-transportation-reduces-food-losses-and-improves-income-and-welfare-in-nigeria

116 GIZ (Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit GmbH). 2022. Sustainable Cooling Solutions in agricultural value chains in sub-Saharan Africa. Eschborn, Germany. https://www.giz.de/en/downloads/giz2024-en-WE4F-infosheet-cold-rooms.pdf?form=MG0AV3&form=MG0AV3

117 Takeshima, H., Yamauchi, F., Edeh, H.O. & Hernandez, M.A. 2023. Solar-powered cold-storage and agrifood market modernization in Nigeria. Agricultural Economics, 54(2): 234–255. https://doi.org/10.1111/agec.12771

118 World Bank. 2011. Missing food: The Case of Postharvest Grain Losses in Sub-Saharan Africa. Report No. 60371-AFR. Washington, DC. https://hdl.handle.net/10986/2824

119 Materia, V.C., Linnemann, A.R., Smid, E.J. & Schoustra, S.E. 2021. Contribution of traditional fermented foods to food systems transformation: value addition and inclusive entrepreneurship. Food Security, 13(5): 1163–1177. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12571-021-01185-5

120 Abraham, F. & Schmukler, S.L. 2017. Addressing the SME Finance Problem. Research & Policy Briefs from the World Bank Malaysia Hub No. 9. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/809191507620842321/pdf/Addressing-the-SME-finance-problem.pdf

121 Reardon, T. & Minten, B. 2019. The rapid transformation of food supply chains in developing and emerging economies with implications for farmers and consumers. In: R.S. Zeigler, ed. Sustaining Global Food Security: The Nexus of Science and Policy, pp. 479–493. Melbourne, Australia, CSIRO Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1071/9781486308095

123 Kersten, R., Harms, J., Liket, K. & Maas, K. 2017. Small Firms, large Impact? A systematic review of the SME Finance Literature. World Development, 97: 330–348. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.04.012

124 Castro, C., Chiarella, C., Laajaj, R., Martínez-Gonzáles, E. & Restrepo, J. 2024. Impact Assessment Report - Colombia: Building Rural Entrepreneurial Capacities Programme: Trust and Opportunity (TOP). Rome, IFAD.

125 Mendiratta, V. & Maggio, G. 2023. Impact Assessment Report for the Rural Clustering and Transformation Project (RCTP). Rome, IFAD.

126 Mamidanna, S., Ignaciuk, A. & Carrasco Azzini, G. (forthcoming). A global analysis of policy patterns across divergent food security trajectories under food price inflation – Background paper for The State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World 2025. FAO Agricultural Development Economics Working Paper 25-08. Rome, FAO.

الملاحق

مراجـع متوفرة باللغـة العر بيـة:
(مترتـبة حسـب ورودهـا فـي النـص)

5 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2024. قاعدة البيانات الإحصائية الموضوعية في منظمة الأغذية والزراعة: بيانات ميزانيات الأغذية. [تمّ الاطلاع على الموقع في 12 مايو/أيار 2025]. https://www.fao.org/faostat/ar/#data/FBS. الترخيص: CC-BY-4.0.

6 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2023. حالة الأغذية في العالم. في: منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. [ورد ذكره في 11 مايو/أيار 2023]. https://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/ar

7 Meybeck, A. وCederberg, C. وGustavsson, J. وvan Otterdijk, R. وSonesson, U. 2011. الفاقد الغذائي والهدر الغذائي في العالم – المدى والأسباب والوقاية. روما، منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/i2697a

8 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2002. موجز وقائع – قياس وتقدير درجة الحرمان من الغذاء ونقص التغذية. الندوة العلمية الدولية، روما، 26-28 يونيو/حزيران 2002. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/y4250a

11 مجموعة البنك الدولي. 2025. بنك البيانات: مؤشرات التنمية العالمية. [تمّ الاطلاع على الموقع في 12 مايو/أيار 2025]. https://databank.albankaldawli.org/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators. الترخيص: CC-BY-4.0.

12 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2025. قاعدة البيانات الإحصائية الموضوعية في منظمة الأغذية والزراعة: مؤشرات أسعار الاستهلاك. [تمّ الاطلاع على الموقع في 19 مارس/آذار 2025]. https://www.fao.org/faostat/ar/#data/CP.

22 منظمة الصحة العالمية. 2011. استخدام تركيز الهيموغلوبين لتشخيص فقر الدم وتقييم وخامته. نظام المعلومات الخاص بالتغذية بالفيتامينات. جينيف، سويسرا. https://iris.who.int/bitstream/handle/10665/85839/WHO_NMH_NHD_MNM_11.1_ara.pdf

29 مجموعة البنك الدولي. 2022. صحيفة وقائع: تعديل خطوط الفقر العالمي. في: World Bank. [ورد ذكره في 10 مايو/أيار 2023]. https://www.albankaldawli.org/ar/news/factsheet/2022/05/02/fact-sheet-an-adjustment-to-global-poverty-lines

31 منظمة الأغذية والزراعة. 2013. الإطار الاستراتيجي المراجع. المؤتمر، الدورة الثامنة والثلاثون، روما، 15-22 يونيو/حزيران 2013. روما. https://www.fao.org/4/mg015a/mg015a.pdf

41 الجمعية العامة للأمم المتحدة. 2016. تقرير فريق الخبراء العامل الحكومي الدولي المفتوح العضوية المعني بالمؤشرات والمصطلحات المتعلّقة بالحد من مخاطر الكوارث. الدورة الحادية والسبعون، البند 19(ج)، الوثيقة A/71/644. نيويورك، الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية. https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/852089

المراجـع الأجنبية

(مترتـبة حسـب ورودهـا فـي النـص)

1 FAO. 1996. Methodology for assessing food inadequacy in developing countries. In: The Sixth World Food Survey, pp. 114–143. Rome. https://www.fao.org/3/w0931e/w0931e.pdf

2 FAO. 2014. Advances in hunger measurement: traditional FAO methods and recent innovations. FAO Statistics Division Working Paper, 14-04. Rome. https://www.fao.org/3/i4060e/i4060e.pdf

3 UNU (United Nations University), WHO & FAO. 2004. Human energy requirements. Report of a Joint FAO/WHO/UNU Expert Consultation. Rome. https://www.fao.org/4/y5686e/y5686e00.htm

4 UN DESA. 2024. World Population Prospects 2024. In: United Nations. [Cited 7 May 2025]. https://population.un.org/wpp

9 Wanner, N., Cafiero, C., Troubat, N. & Conforti, P. 2014. Refinements to the FAO methodology for estimating the prevalence of undernourishment indicator. FAO Statistics Division Working Paper, No. 14-05. Rome, FAO. https://www.fao.org/3/i4046e/i4046e.pdf

10 World Bank. 2024. International Comparison Program (ICP). In: World Bank. [Cited 29 May 2024]. https://www.worldbank.org/en/programs/icp

13 World Bank. 2025. How do you extrapolate the PPP conversion factors estimated by the ICP? In: World Bank Data Help Desk. [Cited 12 May 2025]. https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/665452-how-do-you-extrapolate-the-ppp-conversion-factors

14 World Bank. 2024. Poverty and Inequality Platform (PIP). [Cited 12 June 2024]. https://pip.worldbank.org

15 UNICEF. 2024. UNICEF Global Databases: Infant and Young Child Feeding. In: UNICEF. [Cited 2 June 2025]. https://data.unicef.org/topic/nutrition/infant-and-young-child-feeding

16 UNICEF & WHO. 2023. Joint low birthweight estimates. In: WHO. [Cited 2 June 2025]. https://www.who.int/teams/nutrition-and-food-safety/monitoring-nutritional-status-and-food-safety-and-events/joint-low-birthweight-estimates

17 UN DESA. 2022. World Population Prospects 2022. In: United Nations. [Cited 24 July 2024]. https://population.un.org/wpp

18 Denwood, M.J. 2016. runjags: An R Package Providing Interface Utilities, Model Templates, Parallel Computing Methods and Additional Distributions for MCMC Models in JAGS. Journal of Statistical Software, 71(9): 1–25. https://doi.org/10.18637/jss.v071.i09

19 Su, Y.-S. & Yajima, M. 2024. Package ‘R2jags’. https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/R2jags/R2jags.pdf

20 Ahmad, O.B., Boschi-Pinto, C., Lopez, A.D., Murray, C.J.L., Lozano, R. & Inoue, M. 2001. Age standardization of rates: A new WHO standard. GPE Discussion Paper Series No. 31. Geneva, Switzerland, WHO. https://cdn.who.int/media/docs/default-source/gho-documents/global-health-estimates/gpe_discussion_paper_series_paper31_2001_age_standardization_rates.pdf

21 WHO. 2025. WHO standard methodology to estimate SDG 2.2.3 indicator on anaemia prevalence in women 15-49 years, by pregnancy status, 2000-2023 – Background document. Geneva, Switzerland. https://cdn.who.int/media/docs/default-source/anaemia/anaemia-estimates/anaemia-who-standard-methodology-sdg-2.2.3.pdf?sfvrsn=c2d1f6e4_3

23 WHO. 2024. Guideline on haemoglobin cutoffs to define anaemia in individuals and populations. Geneva, Switzerland. https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240088542

24 WHO. 2025. Micronutrients database. In: WHO Data Platform. [Cited 2 June 2025]. https://platform.who.int/nutrition/micronutrients-database

25 IPC Global Partners. 2019. Technical Manual version 3.0. Evidence and standards for better food security and nutrition decisions. Rome. https://www.ipcinfo.org/fileadmin/user_upload/ipcinfo/docs/IPC_Technical_Manual_3_Final.pdf

26 FAO. 2023. FAO/WHO GIFT | Global Individual Food consumption data Tool. In: FAO. [Cited 10 May 2023]. https://www.fao.org/gift-individual-food-consumption/methodology/food-groups-and-sub-groups

27 Menza, V. & Probart, C. 2013. Eating well for good health. Lessons on nutrition and healthy diets. Rome, FAO. https://www.fao.org/3/i3261e/i3261e.pdf

28 CALP Network. 2025. Types of cash and voucher assistance (CVA). In: CALP Network. [Cited 14 July 2025]. https://www.calpnetwork.org/cash-and-voucher-assistance/types-of-cva

30 Horton, M. & El-Ganainy, A. 2009. Back to Basics: What Is Fiscal Policy? Finance and Development, 46(2): 52–53. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2009/06/pdf/basics.pdf

32 WHO. 2024. WHO: Health taxes. [Accessed on 9 May 2024]. https://www.who.int/data/gho/data/themes/health-taxes. Licence: CC-BY-4.0.

33 IZA (Institute of Labor Economics). 2025. What is economic inequality? In: IZA. [Cited 10 June 2025]. https://wol.iza.org/key-topics/economic-inequality

34 Shepherd, A.W. 1997. Market information services: Theory and practice. FAO Agricultural Services Bulletin 125. Rome, FAO. https://openknowledge.fao.org/handle/20.500.14283/x6993e

35 WHO. 2023. Child growth standards. In: WHO. [Cited 5 June 2023]. https://www.who.int/tools/child-growth-standards/standards

36 Guenette, J.-D. 2020. Price Controls: Good Intentions, Bad Outcomes. Policy Research Working Paper 9212. Washington, DC, World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-9212

37 United Nations. 2017. Report of the High-Level Committee on Programmes at its thirty-fourth session. Annex III. CEB/2017/6 (6 November 2017). New York, USA. https://digitallibrary.un.org/record/3844899

38 ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations). 2014. Proposed Definition of Social Protection and References. In: The Inter-Sectoral Consultation on the Development of a Plan of Action for the Implementation of the ASEAN Declaration on Strengthening Social Protection. Siem Reap, December 2014. https://www.fao.org/fileadmin/templates/rap/files/meetings/2014/141208_6_Proposed_Definition_of_SP_n_References.pdf

39 World Bank, WFP & FAO. 2025. Strengthening Strategic Grain Reserves to Enhance Food Security. Washington, DC. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/43131

40 OECD. 2006. Subsidy reform and sustainable development: economic, environmental and social aspects. Paris. https://www.cbd.int/financial/fiscalenviron/several-subsidiesreform-oecd.pdf

42 de Onis, M., Blössner, M., Borghi, E., Morris, R. & Frongillo, E.A. 2004. Methodology for estimating regional and global trends of child malnutrition. International Journal of Epidemiology, 33(6): 1260–1270. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyh202

43 UNICEF, WHO & World Bank. 2025. Levels and trends in child malnutrition: UNICEF/WHO/ World Bank Group Joint Child Malnutrition Estimates. Key findings of the 2025 edition. New York, USA, Geneva, Switzerland and Washington, DC. https://data.unicef.org/resources/JME, https://www.who.int/teams/nutrition-and-food-safety/monitoring-nutritionalstatus-and-food-safety-and-events/joint-childmalnutrition-estimates/latest-estimates, https://datatopics.worldbank.org/child-malnutrition

44 WHO. 2024. Global Health Observatory (GHO) data repository: Prevalence of obesity among adults, BMI ≥ 30, age-standardized. Estimates by country. [Accessed on 24 July 2025]. https://www.who.int/data/gho/data/indicators/indicator-details/GHO/prevalence-of-obesityamong-adults-bmi-=-30-(age-standardized-estimate)-(-). Licence: CC-BY-4.0.

45 WHO. 2025. WHO Global Anaemia estimates, 2025 Edition. In: WHO. [Cited 8 May 2025]. https://www.who.int/data/gho/data/themes/topics/anaemia_in_women_and_children

46 OECD. 2025. Purchasing power parities (PPP). In: OECD. [Cited 4 July 2025]. https://www.oecd.org/en/data/indicators/purchasing-power-parities-ppp.html

back to top